ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-04 08:30 UTC 1 hour ago

66.1 % ↑ +28.2 zur Vorkerze

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +47% Scalping

▲ Bullish 9 % (1.52) ▼ Bearish 91 % (14.66)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 90.6 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 33.8 % average · stopped out 48.3 % vs 21.1 % (Crypto, 1,699 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.22
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.58
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.03
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	0.90

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple short-term indicators align for a bearish move on the 30-minute chart.
The broader trend is bullish across all timeframes, so this is likely a pullback, not a reversal.
Watch the support at 2677.41 and resistance at 2769.68 for direction.
A break below support could accelerate selling, while a hold could resume the uptrend.

The 30-minute SELL signal on ETH/USDT is driven by a confluence of short-term momentum and volatility indicators: the Stochastic Fast (STOCHF) KD lines have crossed down, price has retreated from the upper Bollinger Band, the HT Phasor in-phase component has crossed down, the Hull Moving Average (HMA) has broken down, and the Z-Score extreme high has exited. Together, these signals suggest that the recent upward push has stalled and that a short-term pullback or consolidation is likely. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bullish, with the daily chart showing a solid trend (3/5) and most intraday timeframes still in a bullish 'trend forming' phase. This suggests that the bearish signal is a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend, likely a correction rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 2677.41 and resistance at 2769.68. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the door for a deeper pullback, while a rebound from support would reinforce the bullish structure. The bearish signal is strong on the 30-minute timeframe, but its sustainability is questionable given the bullish bias on higher timeframes. Traders should treat this as a short-term opportunity, with a clear invalidation level above the recent high or resistance to manage risk.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of five independent indicators all pointing bearish on the 30-minute timeframe.
▼ Z-Score extreme high exit suggests price was overextended and is now reverting.
▼ HMA break down and STOCHF cross down confirm short-term momentum shift.
▼ Strong signal strength (very strong) with 100% probability increases confidence.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe trend is bullish, which could absorb the bearish pressure and lead to a quick reversal.
▲ The nearest support at 2677.41 is not far below, and a bounce from there would invalidate the bearish move.
▲ Momentum could fade if the pullback is shallow and price resumes its uptrend.
▲ If price breaks above the recent high or resistance at 2769.68, the bearish signal is invalidated.