ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-04 18:00 UTC 1 hour ago

35.9 % ↓ −19.3 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 33 % (4.84) ▼ Bearish 67 % (9.94)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

45.9% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 4.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 33.8 % average · stopped out 48.3 % vs 21.1 % (Crypto, 1,699 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.05
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	1.98
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.55
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.10
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.02
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	0.83
▼	Three Outside Down	candlestick	0.66

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong 30-minute bearish signal cluster suggests short-term downward momentum.
The broader trend is bullish across all timeframes, so this may be a pullback, not a reversal.
Watch the 2677.41 support level; a break below could signal further downside.
Resistance at 2707.99 is the nearest upside barrier if the pullback fails.

The 30-minute chart for ETH/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including an APO Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, DEMA Break Down, ER Level Cross Down, STC OB Entry, and HMA Retreat Down, alongside additional indicators and candlestick patterns. This convergence suggests a strong short-term momentum shift to the downside, with multiple overbought conditions unwinding simultaneously. The signal's very strong strength and 85% probability underscore the conviction behind this bearish move.

However, the broader trend context is predominantly bullish across all timeframes, with the daily chart showing a solid trend (3/5) and several intermediate timeframes (30m, 1h, 8h, 12h) in trend-forming phases. This creates a potential conflict: the 30-minute sell signal may represent a pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 2707.99 and support at 2677.41. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a hold could see the pullback stall. Traders should monitor whether the higher timeframe bullish trend reasserts itself or if the selling pressure deepens.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought indicators (CCI, STOCH, BBANDS) are unwinding simultaneously, amplifying selling pressure.
▼ The signal strength is very strong with an 85% probability, indicating high confluence among indicators.
▼ The 30-minute timeframe shows a trend-forming phase, which may support a short-term downtrend.
▼ The cluster includes both indicator and candlestick patterns, adding to the signal's validity.

Risk Factors

▲ The daily and other higher timeframes are bullish, which could absorb the 30-minute selling pressure and lead to a bounce.
▲ The 30-minute sell signal may be a false breakout if support at 2677.41 holds and price reverses upward.
▲ Momentum could fade quickly given the choppy/sideways nature of several timeframes (15m, 2h, 4h).
▲ If price breaks above resistance at 2707.99, the bearish signal would be invalidated.