PEP/EUSDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-04 09:00 UTC 1 hour ago

35.9 % – zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 23 % (2.92) ▼ Bearish 77 % (9.76)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 7.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.9 % vs 33.8 % average · stopped out 23.4 % vs 21.1 % (Crypto, 1,428 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.87
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.80
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.79
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.22
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.03
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.91
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.70

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple momentum indicators (STOCH, KDJ, TSI) and the HMA are aligned bearish on the 30-minute chart.
The signal is strong (77% probability) but occurs within a broader bullish trend on higher timeframes.
Watch the nearest support (0.00000) for confirmation; a break below could extend the decline.
The Bullish Harami Cross adds a candlestick reversal element, but it is a minor pattern.

The SELL signal on PEP/EUSDT at the 30-minute timeframe is driven by a confluence of momentum and volatility indicators turning bearish. The STOCH KD Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, and TSI Signal Cross Down all point to fading upside momentum, while the BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down and HMA Direction Down confirm price retreating from the upper Bollinger Band and a downward trend in the moving average. The SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up indicates a volatility expansion following a squeeze, often accompanying directional moves, and the Bullish Harami Cross adds a candlestick pattern that suggests a potential reversal from a bullish to bearish stance.

Trend alignment across timeframes is mixed, which tempers the signal's reliability. The 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour timeframes are bearish, aligning with the SELL direction, but the 15-minute and 4-hour timeframes are bullish, and higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish with increasing trend strength. This divergence suggests the bearish move may be a pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a major reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance (0.00000) and support (0.00000); a break below support would confirm bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of bearish signals across momentum and volatility indicators.
▼ Bearish alignment on 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes supports the SELL direction.
▼ Volatility expansion (SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up) often precedes directional moves.
▼ Strong signal probability (77%) and strength (strong) increase confidence.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, suggesting the bearish move may be a pullback.
▲ The 15-minute and 4-hour timeframes are bullish, conflicting with the SELL signal.
▲ If price reclaims resistance (0.00000), the signal is invalidated.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions (trend score 1/5) on most timeframes could lead to whipsaws.