SOL/USDT – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-04 14:00 UTC 1 hour ago

53.9 % – erste Kerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +8% Intraday

▲ Bullish 38 % (4.02) ▼ Bearish 63 % (6.70)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

50.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 62.5 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 33.8 % average · stopped out 48.3 % vs 21.1 % (Crypto, 1,699 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.85
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.17
▼	High Wave Bearish	candlestick	0.99
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	0.94
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.83
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	0.63

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPVery strong trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on 2H hint at a pullback, but the larger trend is still bullish.
Watch the support at 117.11000; a break below could accelerate selling.
Resistance at 123.76000 is the immediate upside hurdle if the pullback fades.
Weak signal strength and strong higher-timeframe trends argue for caution.

The 2H chart for SOL/USDT has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and a Bearish Harami, alongside High Wave Bearish and HMA Retreat Down. These indicate a short-term loss of upward momentum and potential pullback within the broader uptrend. However, the overall trend across all timeframes remains bullish, with strong momentum on the 15m through 1h charts and solid trends on 12h and 1d, while the 2H to 8H trends are only forming. This suggests the bearish signals may represent a temporary correction rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 123.76000 and support at 117.11000. A break below support would signal a deeper correction, while holding above it could allow the uptrend to resume. Given the weak signal strength (62% probability) and conflicting higher timeframe bullishness, traders should exercise caution and wait for confirmation before acting on the bearish signals.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish signals align on the 2H timeframe, including candlestick and indicator patterns.
▼ The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCH OB Exit suggest deteriorating buying pressure and overbought conditions.
▼ The Bearish Harami and High Wave Bearish patterns add to the short-term bearish case.
▼ HMA Retreat Down and ACCBANDS Upper Retreat indicate price pulling back from upper bands.

Risk Factors

▲ All timeframes are bullish, with very strong trends on 15m-1h, which could overpower the 2H bearish signals.
▲ The signal probability is only 62% with weak strength, reducing reliability.
▲ A break above the resistance at 123.76000 would invalidate the bearish scenario.
▲ Momentum could fade quickly, leading to a sideways consolidation instead of a meaningful decline.