TRX/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-04 13:30 UTC 1 hour ago

35.9 % ↓ −11.2 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 27 % (9.37) ▼ Bearish 73 % (24.82)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 2.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.2 % vs 33.8 % average · stopped out 39.4 % vs 21.1 % (Crypto, 935 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	2.74
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	2.12
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.91
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.72
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.63
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.61
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	1.60
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.60
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	1.57
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.55
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.30
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.12
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.06
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.06
▼	Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.98
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.92
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart with over 20 sell signals, but higher timeframes remain bullish and choppy.
Immediate support at 0.33500 and resistance at 0.33750 are the key levels to monitor.
This looks like a short-term pullback within a larger bullish trend rather than a reversal.
Watch for a break below 0.33500 to confirm further downside; otherwise, expect a bounce.

The 30-minute TRX/USDT signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with a cluster of over 20 indicators firing sell signals. This includes momentum oscillators like CCI, CMO, RSI, and Stochastic all exiting overbought conditions or crossing down, alongside a BOP Zero Cross Down and a weak DX trend. The confluence of these signals, spanning indicator, candlestick, and Fibonacci groups, suggests a strong short-term bearish push. However, the broader timeframe picture is predominantly bullish, albeit choppy and sideways, with only the 15-minute chart also showing bearish momentum. This creates a conflict: the immediate 30-minute momentum is bearish, but the higher timeframes are not confirming a sustained downtrend, indicating this may be a pullback within a larger bullish structure rather than a trend reversal.

Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 0.33750 and support at 0.33500. A break below support could open the door to further downside, but given the higher timeframe bullish bias, the sell signal may be limited in scope. The moderate strength and 72% probability suggest a tradable opportunity, but traders should be cautious of a potential bounce at support. The bearish signals are most reliable on the 30-minute and 15-minute charts, so any long-term bearish thesis would require confirmation from higher timeframes, which is currently lacking.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple momentum oscillators (RSI, CCI, Stochastic, WILLR) all exiting overbought and crossing down.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and CMO Zero Cross Down confirm selling pressure.
▼ Fibonacci and candlestick signals add to the bearish confluence.
▼ 15-minute timeframe also bearish, aligning with the 30-minute signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, etc.) are bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a quick reversal.
▲ The 30-minute trend itself is labeled bullish, so the sell signal may be counter-trend.
▲ A break above 0.33750 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Momentum may fade if the price holds support at 0.33500, leading to a choppy range.