WIF/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-04 12:00 UTC 1 hour ago

62.9 % – erste Kerze

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +5% Swing

▲ Bullish 18 % (4.22) ▼ Bearish 82 % (19.74)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

45.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 82.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.2 % vs 33.8 % average · stopped out 39.4 % vs 21.1 % (Crypto, 935 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	2.74
▼	MACD Regular Bear Div	divergence	2.62
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	1.94
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.79
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.78
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.51
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.22
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	1.08
▲	STC OS Entry	indicator	1.05
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.01
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.82
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.82
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	0.82

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal has fired on the 4H chart, driven by multiple momentum and trend indicators aligning to the downside.
The signal is likely a correction within a broader bullish trend, as most higher timeframes remain bullish.
Watch the 0.26930 resistance as the key invalidation level; a break above it would negate the bearish setup.
The 0.23400 support is the primary downside target and a potential area for buyers to step back in.

The 4H chart for WIF/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum signals, including MOM, ROC, and ROCR zero-line crosses to the downside, a MA break down, and a retreat from the HT trendline. This confluence of momentum and trend-based signals points to a near-term shift in selling pressure, with the STOCHF KD cross up suggesting a possible short-term bounce within the broader downtrend. The signal's high probability (82%) and strong strength underscore the conviction behind the bearish setup.

The bearish signal on the 4H timeframe stands in contrast to the bullish bias across most other timeframes, particularly the solid uptrends on the 30m, 12h, and 1d charts. This divergence suggests the sell signal may be a pullback or correction within a larger uptrend rather than a full trend reversal. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.26930, which must hold to keep the bearish case intact, and the nearest support at 0.23400, which could act as a target and potential reversal zone. A break above resistance would invalidate the signal, while a move toward support would confirm the downside momentum.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing below zero, signaling strong downward pressure.
▼ Price breaking below a key moving average and retreating from a higher-timeframe trendline, confirming bearish momentum.
▼ High signal probability (82%) and strong strength, indicating robust conviction in the setup.
▼ The presence of candlestick and divergence signal groups adds extra weight to the bearish case.

Risk Factors

▲ The bullish trend on higher timeframes (12h, 1d) could overpower the 4H sell signal, leading to a quick reversal.
▲ The STOCHF KD cross up suggests a possible short-term bounce, which could stall the downside move.
▲ If price reclaims the 0.26930 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and traders should exit short positions.
▲ The choppy/sideways conditions on the 1H, 2H, and 4H charts indicate a lack of clear directional momentum, which could lead to false breakouts.