AUD/CAD – 4H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-06 12:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.44 %

Entry

0.99427

Target

0.98283 +1.15 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.99962 −0.54 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 307 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 307 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +0.40 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.32 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.32 % 16 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,952 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.57
▲	EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.33
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.21
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.12
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.08
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.06
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.68

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish momentum signals align on the 4H chart, suggesting short-term downside pressure.
The 4H EMA Golden Cross is a conflicting bullish signal, but it is being overshadowed by bearish crossovers in other indicators.
Key resistance at 0.99962 must hold; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
The nearest support at 0.98283 is the main downside target, but weak trend scores imply limited follow-through.

The AUD/CAD 4H chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down and a STOCH OB Exit, indicating that buying pressure is fading and momentum is turning lower from overbought conditions. The EMA 20/50 Golden Cross is present on the 4H, but this is being offset by the broader bearish alignment across the 15m, 30m, 12h, and 1D timeframes, which all show bearish trend formation. The confluence of multiple momentum oscillators (STOCHF, KDJ, HMA, Phasor) all crossing down reinforces the short-term bearish bias, even though the 4H and 8H timeframes remain bullish but choppy. The nearest resistance at 0.99962 is a key barrier that must hold to keep the bearish case intact, while the nearest support at 0.98283 is the primary downside target. The signal's weak strength and low trend scores on several timeframes suggest that the move may be corrective rather than a major reversal, so traders should watch for confirmation of a sustained break below resistance and a move toward support.

Catalysts

▼ Bearish alignment across multiple timeframes (15m, 30m, 12h, 1D) supports the downside move.
▼ Confluence of several momentum indicators (BOP, STOCH, KDJ, HMA) all crossing down strengthens the signal.
▼ Price is below the nearest resistance, providing room to move toward support.
▼ The STOCH OB Exit suggests that overbought conditions are unwinding, which typically leads to a pullback.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4H and 8H timeframes are still bullish, which could limit the downside and lead to a bounce.
▲ The signal strength is weak and trend scores are low, indicating a lack of strong momentum.
▲ A break above the 0.99962 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a rally.
▲ The EMA Golden Cross on the 4H is a conflicting bullish signal that may counter the bearish momentum.