GBP/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 12× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-05 22:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.33 %

Entry

208.875

Target

209.998 +0.54 %

closes in profit

Stop

208.232 −0.31 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 765 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 765 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 39 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 10 % at stop avg −0.42 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,441 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 6.5 % vs 17.9 % on average · stopped out 15.1 % vs 11.5 % (forex, 464 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 12× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.80
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.76
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.72
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.59
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.58
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.56
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.51
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.42
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.41
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	1.21
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.18
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	1.15
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.91
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.91
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	0.91

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum signals on 1H suggest a short-term bounce, but the overall trend is bearish across all timeframes.
Key resistance at 209.179 is the immediate hurdle; a break above could open the door for further upside.
Support at 208.232 is the invalidation level—if price breaks below, the bullish signal is void.
Treat this as a counter-trend trade with tight risk management, as the higher timeframe trend favors the downside.

The GBP/JPY 1H signal has fired a cluster of bullish momentum and trend indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Up, EMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, and MA Retreat Up, along with additional signals from candlestick and indicator groups. These suggest that despite the broader bearish trend across all timeframes, the pair is attempting a short-term bounce or reversal. The retreat up signals indicate that price has pulled back to key moving averages or trendlines and is now bouncing, which can be a precursor to a larger move if momentum confirms.

However, the higher timeframe trend is firmly bearish, with the daily showing a solid downtrend and the 4H to 12H in trend-forming stages. This means the 1H bullish signal is counter-trend and likely a corrective rally within a larger decline. The nearest resistance at 209.179 is a critical barrier; a break above it could signal a stronger reversal, while a failure to hold above support at 208.232 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should watch for momentum confirmation and be cautious of the bearish trend reasserting itself.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple retreat-up signals (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA) indicate price is bouncing off dynamic support levels.
▲ The BOP Zero Cross Up and other momentum indicators (MOM, ROC) are aligning to suggest bullish momentum is building.
▲ The 1H signal has a high probability (84%) and strong strength, indicating a confluence of indicators.
▲ The 15m to 1h timeframes are choppy/sideways, which can lead to sharp short-term moves as the market seeks direction.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes, especially the solid daily downtrend, could easily overwhelm a 1H bounce.
▼ If price fails to break above resistance at 209.179, the bounce may fizzle and reverse lower.
▼ A break below support at 208.232 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely accelerate the downtrend.
▼ The 15m to 1h timeframes are choppy/sideways, suggesting low conviction and potential for false signals.