GBP/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-06 16:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.07 %

Entry

209.748

Target

208.232 +0.72 %

closes in profit

Stop

210.760 −0.48 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 765 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 765 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 39 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 10 % at stop avg −0.42 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), KDJ Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,441 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.9 % vs 17.9 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 11.5 % (forex, 303 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ULTOSC OB Exit	indicator	2.82
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.81
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.68
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.41
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.17
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.95
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.87
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.78
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.25
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	1.24
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	1.10
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.84

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum signals on 1H, but weak strength and only 56% probability.
Intraday trends are still bullish, but weakening; higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are bearish.
Watch support at 208.232 for confirmation; resistance at 209.998 is the invalidation level.
Expect possible short-term pullback, but not a strong reversal unless support breaks.

The 1H GBP/JPY chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down and multiple overbought exits (RSI, STOCH, ULTOSC, WILLR) plus bearish crosses (STOCHRSI KD, KDJ). These indicate fading buying pressure and a potential short-term reversal. However, the signal's probability is only 56% and strength is weak, reflecting a lack of strong momentum confirmation. The immediate trend across lower timeframes (15m to 8h) remains bullish, albeit with weakening trend scores (from 4/5 down to 2/5), while the 12h and 1d timeframes are already bearish, suggesting a possible larger downtrend. The confluence of bearish momentum signals against a still-bullish intraday trend creates a mixed picture, but the alignment with higher-timeframe bearishness adds weight to the sell signal.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 209.998 and support at 208.232. A break below support would confirm bearish continuation, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the sell setup. The Fibonacci group signals may provide additional confluence, but given the weak strength, traders should treat this as a tentative signal rather than a high-probability trade. The market appears to be at a potential turning point, with the bullish trend in lower timeframes showing signs of exhaustion.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought exits and bearish crosses indicate momentum exhaustion.
▼ Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are bearish, aligning with the sell signal.
▼ Fibonacci group signals may offer additional confluence.
▼ Trend scores are weakening across timeframes, suggesting loss of bullish momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ The signal is weak (56% probability) and lacks strong momentum confirmation.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are still strongly bullish, which could overpower the signal.
▲ A move above resistance at 209.998 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Fading momentum could lead to a sideways consolidation rather than a clear decline.