GBP/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-06 04:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.48 %

Entry

209.002

Target

209.998 +0.48 %

closes in profit

Stop

206.885 −1.01 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 299 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 299 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +0.40 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.32 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.32 % 16 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up, TRIMA Retreat Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,441 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.9 % vs 17.9 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 11.5 % (forex, 357 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.08
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.06
▲	TRIMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.98
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.79
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.73
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.17
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.04
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.92
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	0.80

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum cluster on the 4H, but it is counter-trend against the higher-timeframe downtrend.
Key levels: resistance at 209.99800, support at 206.88500.
Watch for a breakout above resistance to confirm the bullish move; a break below support invalidates.
Higher timeframes (1D, 12H, 8H) are bearish, so this is a counter-trend trade with higher risk.

The 4H chart for GBP/JPY has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO Zero Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and WILLR OB Entry, alongside a BBANDS Middle Cross Up and MA Retreat Up. Together, these indicate that buying pressure is reasserting itself after a pullback, with the price reclaiming the middle Bollinger Band and momentum oscillators turning higher from oversold or neutral levels. The confluence of these signals points to a potential upside move, with the nearest resistance at 209.99800 as the first target and nearest support at 206.88500 as the key invalidation zone.

However, the higher timeframes are predominantly bearish, with the 1D showing a solid downtrend and the 4H/8H/12H still in bearish trend formation. This creates a conflict: the bullish 4H signal is a counter-trend move against the larger downtrend. The 1H and 30M are bullish but choppy, while the 2H is bearish, adding to the mixed picture. For the signal to play out, the price must hold above the 206.88500 support and break through the 209.99800 resistance; a failure to do so would likely see the bearish trend resume.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, WILLR) all crossing up simultaneously, showing strong buying pressure.
▲ Price reclaiming the middle Bollinger Band and MA retreat up suggests the pullback may be over.
▲ The 4H signal has a very strong probability (90%) and strength, indicating high confluence among the fired signals.
▲ The 15M and 1H timeframes are also bullish, providing some short-term alignment.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (1D, 12H, 8H, 4H) are bearish, so the bullish signal is counter-trend and could fail.
▼ The 2H timeframe is bearish, conflicting with the 4H bullish signal.
▼ If price fails to break above 209.99800, the bullish momentum may fade and the downtrend could resume.
▼ A break below 206.88500 support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely lead to further downside.