SOL/USDT – 12H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-06 00:00 UTC 1 hour ago

67.1 % – erste Kerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +9% Position

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (13.14)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

51.0% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 100.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 22.0 % vs 33.2 % average · stopped out 22.6 % vs 20.9 % (Crypto, 1,526 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.79
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.06
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.05
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.05
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.04

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 12H chart suggest a pullback or correction is likely.
The broader trend remains bullish on higher timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
Watch the 95.82 support; a break below would confirm bearish momentum.
Resistance at 124.95 is the key level to reclaim for trend continuation.

The 12H chart for SOL/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals at 2026-10-06 02:00 UTC, including a Stoch KD cross down, TEMA and HMA retreats, a Phasor inphase cross down, an SMI signal cross down, a TTM trend down, and a bearish Spinning Top candlestick. These indicators collectively point to a loss of upside momentum and the potential start of a corrective phase. However, the broader context is important: the 12H and 1D timeframes are still in solid bullish trends (3/5 strength), while the 4H and 8H are bullish but only trend-forming (2/5). The bearish signals are therefore firing against the medium-term trend, suggesting this is likely a pullback or consolidation rather than a full reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 95.82000 and resistance at 124.95000. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and could open further downside, while a hold above support would indicate the pullback is shallow. Conversely, a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and signal trend continuation. The confluence of multiple oscillator and trend-following signals on the 12H adds weight to the bearish case, but traders should be cautious given the higher-timeframe bullish bias.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (Stoch, TEMA, HMA, SMI, TTM) on the 12H timeframe.
▼ Bearish Spinning Top candlestick adds a candlestick confirmation to the signal.
▼ Short-term timeframes (15m-1h) are already bearish, aligning with the 12H signal.
▼ The signal strength is 'very strong' with a 100% probability, indicating high conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are still in solid bullish trends, which could absorb the bearish pullback.
▲ The 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes are bullish, suggesting the bearish move may be short-lived.
▲ A break above resistance at 124.95 would invalidate the bearish setup and signal trend continuation.
▲ Momentum could fade if the pullback is shallow and buyers step in near support.