USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-06 15:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.31 %

Entry

1.42525

Target

1.42853 +0.23 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.42024 −0.35 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,343 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,343 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), EMA 200 Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 11× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 11× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.37
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.34
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.25
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.95
▼	MAMA Cross Down	indicator	1.72
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▼	AO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	MACD Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	TSI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.22
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.02
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

UPExtremely strong trend

12H

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple indicators across different groups are firing bullish on the 30-minute chart, suggesting a high-probability long setup.
Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bullish, supporting the idea that the 30-minute uptrend is part of a larger move.
Watch the 1.42853 resistance: a break above could open the door to further upside, while a drop below 1.42425 would invalidate the signal.
The short-term bearishness on the 15m and 30m charts is likely a pullback, but it adds caution until price confirms higher.

The USD/CAD 30-minute signal stack is overwhelmingly bullish at the time of firing, with 12 indicators aligning to a buy bias. The BOP zero cross up and STOCHF KD cross up indicate improving buying pressure, while the WILLR exit from oversold and the MAMA cross down (bullish) suggest momentum is turning higher. The EMA 200 and SMA 200 retreat up confirm that price is pulling back to a rising moving average, a classic continuation setup. The MACD zero cross down, though typically bearish, is occurring in the context of a broader uptrend and may represent a shallow pullback that is now reversing.

Across timeframes, the higher timeframes are strongly bullish: the 8-hour and 12-hour charts show extremely strong and very strong trends, respectively, and the 4-hour and daily charts are solidly bullish. In contrast, the 15-minute and 30-minute charts are bearish and choppy, but this is likely a short-term pullback within the larger uptrend. The nearest resistance at 1.42853 and support at 1.42425 define the immediate range; a break above resistance would confirm the bullish continuation, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup. The confluence of multiple indicator groups (indicator, fibonacci, candlestick) adds weight to the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Strong bullish alignment across 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes, with the 8H showing an extremely strong trend.
▲ Confluence of multiple indicator types (momentum, trend, oscillators) all pointing in the same direction.
▲ The EMA 200 and SMA 200 retreat up indicate that price is respecting the rising moving averages, a bullish sign.
▲ The WILLR exit from oversold and STOCHF cross up suggest momentum is turning higher after a dip.

Risk Factors

▼ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are bearish and choppy, which could mean the pullback is not over and price may test support before resuming higher.
▼ The MACD zero cross down is a bearish signal on the 30-minute chart, potentially indicating that downside momentum is still present.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 1.42425, the bullish setup would be invalidated and the higher-timeframe trend could be at risk.
▼ The moderate strength of the signal (72% probability) suggests that despite the bullish confluence, there is still a meaningful chance of failure, so risk management is key.