EUR/AUD – 1H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.19 %
Entry
1.60615
Target
1.60012 +0.38 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.61456 −0.52 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 54 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 784 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 784 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
15 % at target avg +0.37 % 39 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 10 % at stop avg −0.41 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Break Down, KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, EMA Break Down +14 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,952 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/AUD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 15 × 1h 17%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KAMA Break Down indicator 2.79
▼ KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 2.75
▼ EMA Break Down indicator 2.56
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.51
▼ SMA 50 Break Down indicator 2.24
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 2.01
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.92
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.88
▼ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 1.81
▲ CHOP Trending indicator 1.79
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 1.68
▼ ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish indicator 1.63
▼ SUPERTREND Flip Bearish indicator 1.61
▼ ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down indicator 1.55
▲ RSI OS Entry indicator 1.52
▼ QQE Midline Cross Down indicator 1.44
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.31
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.28
▼ Long Line Bearish candlestick 1.16
▼ AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 0.79
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 0.75

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals (AROON, EMA, KAMA, trendline) align on the 1H chart, indicating strong downside momentum.
  • Oversold RSI and Williams %R suggest a possible short-term bounce, but the trend remains bearish.
  • Resistance at 1.61456 is the key level to watch; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • No clear support level means downside targets are undefined, increasing the risk of sharp reversals.
The EUR/AUD 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including an AROON Strong Downtrend, EMA Break Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, and KAMA Break Down, alongside oversold entries on RSI and Williams %R and a break below the lower Bollinger Band. This confluence indicates strong downside momentum and a well-established bearish trend on the 1H timeframe, reinforced by a solid bearish trend (3/5) on the 15m and 4h timeframes, with trend forming on most others. The daily timeframe is choppy/sideways (1/5), which suggests the broader picture lacks a strong directional bias, but the intraday and medium-term alignment favors continued downside.

Key levels to monitor: the nearest resistance at 1.61456 acts as a critical pivot—if price reclaims this level, the bearish thesis weakens. There is no defined nearest support, so downside targets are not clearly mapped, increasing the risk of sharp reversals in a vacuum. Traders should watch for a potential bounce from oversold conditions, as RSI and Williams %R are in oversold territory, which could trigger a short-term pullback. The strong trend scores on lower timeframes support the sell signal, but the lack of support and the daily choppiness warrant caution.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong bearish trend across multiple timeframes (15m, 1h, 4h) supports the sell signal.
  • ▼ Confluence of breakouts (Bollinger Band, EMA, KAMA) and trendline retreat confirms bearish momentum.
  • ▼ Aroon Strong Downtrend indicates sustained downward movement.
  • ▼ High signal probability (82%) and strong strength rating increase confidence.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Oversold conditions on RSI and Williams %R could lead to a short-term bounce, countering the sell.
  • ▲ Daily timeframe is choppy/sideways, lacking a clear trend, which may limit downside follow-through.
  • ▲ No defined support level means price could fall sharply but also reverse violently without a clear target.
  • ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 1.61456, the bearish signal is invalidated.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 17%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-07 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.61456 2026-10-06
R2 1.63352 2026-09-30

Tags

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