EUR/AUD – 4H – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-07 08:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.18 %

Entry

1.60587

Target

1.59887 +0.44 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.63352 −1.72 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 307 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 307 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +0.40 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.32 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.32 % 16 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SAR Flip Bearish, MACD Signal Cross Down, KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout +14 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,952 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	2.21
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.19
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.06
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	1.77
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.75
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.29
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.07
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.01
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.88
▼	Bearish Separating Lines	candlestick	0.78

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster on the 4H chart, with momentum and trend indicators aligned.
Bearish trend is consistent across lower timeframes (15m to 4H), but the daily is choppy.
Watch the nearest resistance at 1.63352 as the key invalidation level.
Oversold conditions (WILLR) could trigger a short-term bounce, so manage risk carefully.

The EUR/AUD 4H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including an Aroon Strong Downtrend, MACD Signal Cross Down, and momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing below zero. The EMA Retreat Down confirms that price is pulling back into a moving average before continuing lower, while the WILLR OS Entry indicates the market is in oversold territory but still favors the downside. This confluence of momentum, trend, and candlestick signals points to a strong bearish push.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent from 15m up to 4H, with solid trend scores of 3/5, and the 8H and 12H are in early bearish formation (2/5). However, the daily chart is only mildly bearish and choppy, which suggests the broader trend is not fully aligned. The nearest resistance at 1.63352 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. With no defined support below, the downside could be open, but traders should be cautious of the daily choppiness and the oversold condition that might lead to a bounce.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing down, confirming bearish momentum.
▼ Aroon Strong Downtrend indicates a strong trend in place.
▼ EMA Retreat Down suggests price is pulling back into a moving average, offering a potential entry for continuation.
▼ Aligned bearish trend across 15m to 4H timeframes.

Risk Factors

▲ Daily chart is choppy/sideways, which could limit the depth of the move.
▲ WILLR is in oversold territory, increasing the risk of a short-term bounce.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.63352 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ No defined support below means the downside could be unpredictable.