GBP/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-07 20:00 UTC 1 hour ago

59.3 % – erste Kerze

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +19% Intraday

▲ Bullish 77 % (14.96) ▼ Bearish 23 % (4.40)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

53.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 77.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 6.2 % vs 18.7 % average · stopped out 15.1 % vs 11.5 % (Forex, 385 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.79
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.79
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.63
▼	TSI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	MACD Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	QQE Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	1.27
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.26
▲	Hammer	candlestick	1.19
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	0.99
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	0.93

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum signals on the 2H chart, but they are firing against a broader bearish trend.
Watch the 209.998 resistance; a break could confirm a short-term reversal.
The 207.586 support is the invalidation level; a break below negates the buy signal.
Higher timeframe trends (1H, 1D) remain bearish, so treat this as a potential counter-trend bounce.

The GBP/JPY 2H signal is a BUY with strong conviction (77% probability), driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators. The ADXR Trend Strong signal indicates a strengthening trend, while the BOP Zero Cross Up and MACD Zero Cross Down suggest improving buying pressure and a potential shift in momentum. The STOCHF KD Cross Up and RSX OS Entry point to oversold conditions that may be reversing, and the SMA 200 Retreat Up and ER Level Cross Up add confluence. The QQE Midline Cross Down and other candlestick signals reinforce the bullish case.

However, the broader trend across timeframes is predominantly bearish, with solid downtrends on the 15m through 1H and daily charts. The 2H and 12H are only in a 'trend forming' phase, while the 4H and 8H are choppy/sideways. This suggests the buy signal may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 209.998 is a key barrier; a break above could signal a larger reversal, while the nearest support at 207.586 is critical—a loss of this level would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple momentum indicators (ADXR, BOP, MACD, STOCHF, RSX) all pointing to a bullish reversal.
▲ Oversold conditions (RSX OS Entry) and a KD cross up suggest a bounce is likely.
▲ SMA 200 retreat up and ER level cross up indicate price reclaiming key levels.
▲ Strong signal strength (77% probability) adds confidence to the setup.

Risk Factors

▼ The broader trend is bearish across most timeframes; the buy signal could be a temporary counter-trend rally.
▼ If price fails to break above 209.998, the bullish momentum may fade and reverse.
▼ A break below 207.586 support would invalidate the signal and likely accelerate the downtrend.
▼ The 4H and 8H are choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of clear directional conviction.