USD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-07 09:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.25 %

Entry

1.42207

Target

1.41546 +0.46 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.42853 −0.45 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 721 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 721 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 39 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 10 % at stop avg −0.42 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Top, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Topbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.20
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.65
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.48
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.41
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.40
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.31
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	MCGD Break Down	indicator	2.07
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	2.04
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.98
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.66
▲	AROON Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▲	AROONOSC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.31
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.23
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.13
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.12

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

UPExtremely strong trend

12H

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Double Top and multiple overbought exits signal a likely short-term pullback.
All intraday timeframes (15m-4h) are bearish, but higher timeframes (8h-1d) remain bullish.
Watch nearest support at 1.42024; a break could accelerate downside.
A move back above 1.42853 would invalidate the bearish signal.

The 1H USD/CAD chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Double Top pattern and a suite of momentum oscillators (CCI, Stochastic, Williams %R) exiting overbought territory. The BBANDS Middle Cross Down confirms a shift in short-term volatility structure, while the Aroon indicators (Cross Up, Strong Uptrend, and Aroon Oscillator Zero Cross Up) suggest the recent upward push has exhausted its strength. This confluence points to a high-probability pullback within the prevailing bearish intraday bias.

Trend alignment is mixed but leans bearish on the lower timeframes: 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h all show bearish momentum, with the 4h in a solid downtrend. However, the 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes remain firmly bullish, indicating this is a counter-trend move against the larger uptrend. Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 1.42853 and nearest support at 1.42024. A break below support could extend the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of chart pattern (Double Top) and multiple oscillator overbought exits.
▼ Bearish alignment across all lower timeframes (15m-4h).
▼ BBANDS Middle Cross Down confirms downward momentum shift.
▼ Strong signal strength (77% probability) and dense signal cluster.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe bullish trends (8h, 12h, 1d) could overpower the intraday bearish move.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on 30m and 2h may lead to false breakouts.
▲ If price reclaims 1.42853, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Momentum may fade quickly if the pullback is shallow and buyers step in near support.