AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-08 18:00 UTC 48 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.10 %

Entry

0.69548

Target

0.69415 +0.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.69694 −0.21 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,343 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,343 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Break Down, ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish, HMA Break Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping

▲ Bullish 3 % (1.76) ▼ Bearish 97 % (51.95)

model score 96.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA 200 Break Down	indicator	2.12
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	2.12
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.97
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.95
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	AO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.56
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	EMA 200 Break Down	indicator	1.54
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.53
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.42
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple 30-minute indicators (CCI, stochastic, Bollinger Bands, EMA/SMA breaks) are all pointing lower, giving a strong sell signal.
The higher timeframes (2h to daily) are bearish, so this sell signal is in line with the larger trend, not against it.
Watch resistance at 0.69621; as long as price stays below it, the bearish bias remains intact.
A break below support at 0.69423 would confirm the next leg down; a move back above resistance would invalidate the signal.

A dense cluster of bearish signals has fired on the AUD/USD 30-minute chart, led by a break below both the 200-period EMA and SMA, a retreat from the upper Bollinger Band, a stochastic cross down, and a CCI exit from overbought territory. The broader trend structure supports this sell signal: while the very short timeframes (15m-1h) are still forming a bullish move, the higher timeframes (2h through daily) are all bearish with solid trend scores, indicating that the intraday bounce is likely a correction within a larger downtrend. The confluence of the EMA/SMA breakdown and momentum indicators turning down suggests sellers are regaining control. Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.69621, which should now cap any rally, and support at 0.69423, a break of which would confirm the bearish continuation. The HT SINE cross up and AO zero cross up are contrarian signals that add to the bearish case, as they often mark the end of a counter-trend move. Overall, the signal aligns with the dominant bearish bias across higher timeframes, and the strong probability score reflects the multiple confirmations.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish trend scores on 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes provide a solid backdrop for the sell signal.
▼ Confluence of EMA 200 and SMA 200 breaks on the 30m chart, a classic trend-reversal or continuation signal.
▼ Multiple momentum indicators (CCI, stochastic, AO) all turning down simultaneously, increasing the probability of follow-through.
▼ The retreat from the upper Bollinger Band suggests the recent bounce was overextended and is now unwinding.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m to 1h timeframes are still bullish and trend forming, so a short-term bounce could occur before the move down resumes.
▲ The HT SINE cross up is a contrarian signal that could indicate a temporary pause or reversal in the downtrend.
▲ If price reclaims the 0.69621 resistance level, the bearish setup would be invalidated, and the trend could shift back up.
▲ The 30m trend score is only 2/5 (trend forming), meaning the immediate trend is not yet fully established, which could lead to choppy price action.