EUR/AUD – 1H – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.06 %
Entry
1.60882
Target
1.60470 +0.26 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.61456 −0.36 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 54 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 784 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 784 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
15 % at target avg +0.37 % 39 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 10 % at stop avg −0.41 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,952 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/AUD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 100%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.92
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.88
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.88
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.87
▲ FISHER Zero Cross Up indicator 1.69
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.60
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.60
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.59
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.59
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.59
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.45
▲ RSX Midline Cross Up indicator 1.42
▲ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.18
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.01
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 0.90
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 0.75

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR) and RSI have crossed below zero/midline, confirming strong bearish momentum.
  • EMA 50 and KAMA are retreating, aligning with the bearish trend across 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes.
  • The nearest support at 1.60470 is the immediate downside target; a break below could open further declines.
  • Resistance at 1.61456 is the key invalidation level; a move above it would negate the bearish signal.
The EUR/AUD 1H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, with 13 indicators aligning to confirm downside momentum. The BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC, and ROCR all crossed below their zero lines, while the RSI crossed below its midpoint, collectively indicating a strong shift in momentum. Additionally, the EMA 50 and KAMA are retreating downward, confirming that the trend is pulling price lower. The signal strength is rated as strong, with an 83% probability, reflecting a high degree of confluence across multiple indicator families.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the 1H, 2H, and 4H charts, and trend forming (2/5) on the 8H and 12H. The 15M, 30M, and 1D are choppy but still bearish, which suggests that while the immediate momentum is strong, the longer-term daily picture is less defined. Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 1.60470, which could act as a target or a bounce point, and the nearest resistance at 1.61456, which now serves as a critical ceiling. A break below support would likely extend the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ High confluence of 13 bearish signals across candlestick and indicator groups.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trend scores (3/5) on 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes, with trend forming on higher timeframes.
  • ▼ Momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing below zero suggests strong selling pressure.
  • ▼ EMA 50 and KAMA retreating confirms that moving averages are turning downward, supporting the bearish move.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 1D timeframe is only choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating a lack of longer-term bearish conviction; a daily reversal could stall the move.
  • ▲ Immediate support at 1.60470 could act as a bounce zone, leading to short-term consolidation or a pullback.
  • ▲ The 15M and 30M timeframes are choppy, suggesting that intraday momentum may be less reliable; watch for whipsaws.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 1.61456, the bearish setup would be invalidated, potentially triggering a short squeeze.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-08 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.61456 2026-10-06
R2 1.63352 2026-09-30
S1 1.60470 2026-10-07

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