EUR/AUD – 1H – SELL
SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down +10 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,952 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▼ | SMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.89 |
| ▼ | EMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▼ | QSTICK Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▲ | FISHER Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▲ | RSX Midline Cross Up | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▲ | SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.18 |
| ▼ | BIAS Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.01 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 0.90 |
| ▲ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up | indicator | 0.75 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR) and RSI have crossed below zero/midline, confirming strong bearish momentum.
- EMA 50 and KAMA are retreating, aligning with the bearish trend across 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes.
- The nearest support at 1.60470 is the immediate downside target; a break below could open further declines.
- Resistance at 1.61456 is the key invalidation level; a move above it would negate the bearish signal.
Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the 1H, 2H, and 4H charts, and trend forming (2/5) on the 8H and 12H. The 15M, 30M, and 1D are choppy but still bearish, which suggests that while the immediate momentum is strong, the longer-term daily picture is less defined. Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 1.60470, which could act as a target or a bounce point, and the nearest resistance at 1.61456, which now serves as a critical ceiling. A break below support would likely extend the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▼ High confluence of 13 bearish signals across candlestick and indicator groups.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend scores (3/5) on 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes, with trend forming on higher timeframes.
- ▼ Momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing below zero suggests strong selling pressure.
- ▼ EMA 50 and KAMA retreating confirms that moving averages are turning downward, supporting the bearish move.
- ▲ The 1D timeframe is only choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating a lack of longer-term bearish conviction; a daily reversal could stall the move.
- ▲ Immediate support at 1.60470 could act as a bounce zone, leading to short-term consolidation or a pullback.
- ▲ The 15M and 30M timeframes are choppy, suggesting that intraday momentum may be less reliable; watch for whipsaws.
- ▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 1.61456, the bearish setup would be invalidated, potentially triggering a short squeeze.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.61456 | 2026-10-06 |
| R2 | 1.63352 | 2026-09-30 |
| S1 | 1.60470 | 2026-10-07 |