EUR/AUD – 8H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.47 %
Entry
1.61087
Target
1.63352 +1.41 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.57243 −2.39 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 10
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,402 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,402 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.37 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.46 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, KDJ Cross Up, SMI Signal Cross Up +2 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,952 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % – vs previous candle
WEAK Swing
▲ Bullish 100 % (16.46) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
model score 5.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 5 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 17.0 % vs 11.5 % (forex, 277 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/AUD  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 5 × 8h 5%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.70
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.70
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.66
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.17
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.10

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Momentum oscillators on the 8H chart are flashing bullish, suggesting a potential bounce from oversold conditions.
  • The broader trend is bearish across most timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend rally, not a full reversal.
  • Watch the 1.63352 resistance and 1.60855 support levels for confirmation or invalidation of the bullish signal.
  • The signal strength is very strong due to multiple indicators aligning, but higher timeframe trends remain down.
The EUR/AUD 8H chart has triggered a cluster of momentum oscillators—STOCHF KD Cross Up, KDJ Cross Up, SMI Signal Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, and TTM TREND Trend Up—all pointing to a bullish reversal attempt. These signals suggest that downside momentum is exhausting and that buyers are stepping in, potentially setting up a bounce from oversold conditions. However, the broader trend context is predominantly bearish across most timeframes, with the 2H, 4H, and 8H charts showing solid downtrends. This creates a conflict: the short-term momentum is turning up, but the medium-term trend remains down, so the bullish signal may be a counter-trend rally rather than a full reversal.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.63352 and support at 1.60855. A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a loss of support would invalidate the bounce and resume the downtrend. Given the mixed signals, traders should treat this as a potential short-term long opportunity, but with caution due to the bearish higher timeframes. The probability rating of 100% and very strong strength are based on the confluence of indicators, but they do not guarantee price direction; they simply reflect the alignment of the oscillators.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum indicators (STOCHF, KDJ, SMI, WILLR) are all turning up simultaneously, showing strong short-term buying pressure.
  • ▲ The TTM TREND Trend Up confirms that the immediate trend on the 8H chart is shifting higher.
  • ▲ WILLR exiting oversold territory often precedes a bounce, and the cluster of signals increases the likelihood of a short-term rally.
  • ▲ The 8H timeframe is where the signal fires, and the momentum shift is clear even though higher timeframes are bearish.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The bearish trends on the 2H, 4H, and 8H charts are solid, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish momentum.
  • ▼ If price fails to break above 1.63352 resistance, the bounce may stall and reverse lower.
  • ▼ A drop below 1.60855 support would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the downtrend.
  • ▼ The 15m and 1H timeframes are still bearish, indicating that the bullish momentum is not yet confirmed at lower levels.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 8H
Direction BUY
Conviction 5%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-08 00:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.63352 2026-09-30
R2 1.64446 2026-08-20
R3 1.65036 2026-08-03
S1 1.60855 2026-09-18
S2 1.60802 2026-09-08

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