EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %
Entry
176.967
Target
178.307 +0.76 %
closes in profit
Stop
176.525 −0.25 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,343 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,343 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), STOCHF KD Cross Up +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % – vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 59 % (7.16) ▼ Bearish 41 % (5.05)
model score 2.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 5.7 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 16.1 % vs 11.6 % (forex, 422 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 3%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 2.17
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 2.07
▼ AO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.75
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.63
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.59
▼ MAMA Cross Down indicator 1.44
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.16
▼ AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 0.70

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Short-term momentum is turning up, but the broader trend is firmly bearish across all timeframes.
  • The buy signal is counter-trend and likely a bounce within a downtrend.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 177.320; a break above could extend the bounce, but failure may lead to a reversal.
  • The nearest support at 176.525 is the key level to watch for invalidation of the bounce.
The EUR/JPY 30-minute signal is a confluence of short-term momentum turning upward against a broader bearish backdrop. The Aroon indicator still shows a strong downtrend, but the BOP zero cross up, STOCHF KD cross up, and WILLR oversold exit all point to a near-term bounce. The MAMA cross down and AO zero cross down are lagging bearish signals, while the ER level cross down suggests a loss of directional efficiency. The Fibonacci Break UpTrend at the 24% retracement level indicates that price has broken above a minor Fibonacci resistance, adding a bullish tilt to the short-term picture.

However, the trend across all timeframes is bearish, with solid trends on the 2H, 8H, 12H, and 1D charts. This means the buy signal is counter-trend and likely a corrective move within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 177.320 is a key hurdle; a failure to break above it would confirm the bearish continuation. The nearest support at 176.525 is the invalidation level for the bounce. Traders should watch for a potential bearish reversal near resistance, which could offer a short opportunity, but the current signal is only a weak counter-trend buy.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) are aligning to suggest a short-term bounce.
  • ▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend at the 24% level provides a technical trigger for the buy signal.
  • ▲ The bounce could find additional support from the oversold conditions indicated by WILLR.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes is a major headwind for the buy signal.
  • ▼ The signal strength is weak (58% probability), indicating a lower conviction setup.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 177.320 could cap the upside and lead to a bearish reversal.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 176.525 would invalidate the bounce and likely resume the downtrend.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 3%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-08 13:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 177.32000 2026-10-08
R2 178.30700 2026-10-07
R3 178.33800 2026-10-06
S1 176.52500 2026-10-08
S2 176.22000 2026-10-05

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