EUR/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-08 13:30 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

1.11839

Target

1.12129 +0.26 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.11612 −0.20 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,343 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,343 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, WILLR OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −4.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 87 % (9.75) ▼ Bearish 13 % (1.40)

model score 7.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 5.7 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 16.1 % vs 11.6 % (forex, 422 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.61
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.58
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.29
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.91
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 30M chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the larger trend is bearish.
Watch the 1.12129 resistance; a break above could extend the correction.
A move below 1.11647 support would invalidate the bullish setup.
Higher timeframe trends are strongly bearish, so any upside may be limited.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, ER Level Cross Down, HMA Retreat Up, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, and a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern. These signals collectively suggest a short-term bounce or reversal attempt within a broader bearish trend. The confluence of momentum oscillators exiting oversold conditions and a bullish candlestick pattern indicates that buying pressure is emerging at the 30-minute level.

However, the higher timeframe trend remains firmly bearish, with very strong bearish trends on the 8H, 12H, and 1D charts. This means the bullish signals are likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 1.12129 is a key level to watch; a break above could signal a deeper correction, while failure to hold above it would likely lead to a resumption of the downtrend. The nearest support at 1.11647 is the immediate invalidation zone for the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, ZSCORE) are exiting oversold conditions, suggesting a shift in short-term momentum.
▲ A Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern provides a visual confirmation of buying pressure.
▲ The HMA Retreat Up and HT PHASOR cross up indicate early signs of trend reversal on the 30M chart.
▲ The signal strength is very strong with an 87% probability, increasing confidence in the short-term move.

Risk Factors

▼ The overall trend across all timeframes is bearish, with very strong bearish trends on higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) that could overwhelm the 30M bullish signals.
▼ The 30M trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), suggesting the bullish move may lack strong momentum.
▼ The nearest resistance at 1.12129 is only a few pips above the current price, and a failure to break it could lead to a quick reversal.
▼ If the price breaks below 1.11647 support, the bullish setup is invalidated and the downtrend is likely to resume.