EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-08 18:00 UTC 48 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.08 %

Entry

1.11989

Target

1.11647 +0.31 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12768 −0.70 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,343 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,343 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish, EMA 200 Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (37.38)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.66
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	1.92
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.88
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.66
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.20

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term reversal.
Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are in strong bearish trends, aligning with the sell signal.
Watch the nearest support at 1.11647 for a breakout; resistance at 1.12129 is the invalidation level.
The signal has a 73% probability with moderate strength, so use proper risk management.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including CCI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, and retreats from the upper Bollinger Band and key moving averages (EMA 200, SMA 200). Additional signals from the Hilbert Transform (Inphase and Sine zero cross up) and Coppock zero cross up suggest that the short-term rally is losing momentum and may be reversing. While the 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour timeframes are still labeled bullish with trend forming, the higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, with the 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d showing solid to very strong bearish trends. This alignment of bearish pressure from higher timeframes with a short-term bearish reversal signal increases the probability of a downward move.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12129 and support at 1.11647. A break below support could confirm the bearish reversal and open the path toward lower levels, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The confluence of multiple indicators pointing down, combined with the strong bearish trend on higher timeframes, supports a sell bias. However, the short-term bullish trend on lower timeframes could still provide some bounce, so traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish trend on higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) supports the sell direction.
▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (CCI, Stochastic, Bollinger Bands, moving averages) increases signal reliability.
▼ Retreat from upper Bollinger Band and moving averages indicates rejection at higher prices.
▼ Hilbert Transform and Coppock signals add to the bearish momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce before the downtrend resumes.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 1.12129, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ The signal strength is only moderate, so the move may lack strong momentum.
▲ Watch for any bullish reversal patterns or divergence that could signal a false breakdown.