EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
59 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.13 %
Entry
1.11780
Target
1.11589 +0.17 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.12129 −0.31 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,343 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,343 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 7 % (2.16) ▼ Bearish 93 % (28.28)
model score 92.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
EUR/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.93
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.92
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.90
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.88
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.88
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.87
▲ ADX Trend Strong indicator 1.49
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.47
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.46
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.37
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.35
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.28
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.24
▲ RSX OS Entry indicator 0.93
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.90

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish alignment across all timeframes, with very strong trend scores on higher timeframes.
  • Multiple indicators (ADX, BOP, moving averages, stochastic) confirm downside momentum.
  • Nearest support at 1.11647 is the key level to watch for a breakdown; resistance at 1.12129 caps bounces.
  • Oversold conditions may cause brief pullbacks, but the trend remains bearish unless resistance is reclaimed.
The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a strong ADX trend reading and multiple moving-average pullback signals (DEMA and EMA retreats down), alongside a BOP zero cross down and a Williams %R oversold entry. The confluence of these indicators points to sustained selling pressure, with the STOCH and STOCHF crosses adding short-term momentum confirmation. The bearish bias is reinforced across all timeframes, from the 15-minute to the daily chart, with higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) showing very strong trend scores, suggesting the pullback is part of a broader downtrend rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 1.11647, which if broken could open the path for further downside, and the nearest resistance at 1.12129, which now acts as a barrier for any bounce. The trend alignment across multiple timeframes, especially the very strong scores on the daily and 8H/12H charts, lends high confidence to the bearish outlook. However, the Williams %R oversold condition and the stochastic cross up on the 30-minute could trigger short-term bounces, so traders should watch for a failure to break support or a reclaim of resistance as a sign of weakening momentum.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with very strong scores on 8H, 12H, and 1D.
  • ▼ ADX trend strength confirms the presence of a strong trend, not just noise.
  • ▼ Multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA) indicate price pulling back within a downtrend.
  • ▼ BOP zero cross down and stochastic crosses add momentum confirmation.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Williams %R oversold entry suggests the market may be due for a short-term bounce.
  • ▲ Stochastic KD cross up on the 30-minute could signal a temporary reversal within the downtrend.
  • ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 1.12129, the bearish setup weakens.
  • ▲ Lower timeframe (15m) shows a solid but not very strong trend, so momentum could fade.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-08 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12129 2026-10-08
R2 1.12768 2026-10-06
S1 1.11647 2026-10-07
S2 1.11612 2026-10-05

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