GBP/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-07 22:00 UTC 1 hour ago

59.3 % – zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +4% Intraday

▲ Bullish 88 % (8.94) ▼ Bearish 12 % (1.21)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

50.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 88.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 6.2 % vs 18.7 % average · stopped out 15.1 % vs 11.5 % (Forex, 385 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.53
▲	T3 Break Up	indicator	2.27
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.75
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.60
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.29
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.18

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on 1H suggest a potential bounce, but the broader trend is bearish.
Key levels: resistance at 210.203, support at 208.232.
Watch for a break below support to invalidate the bullish signals.
The Death Cross on SMA 20/50 reinforces the bearish bias.

The 1H GBP/JPY signal is a confluence of bullish indicators, including a T3 Break Up, AO Saucer Bullish, ER Level Cross Up, KDJ Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up, HMA Direction Up, and a Long Legged Doji. These suggest a potential short-term bounce within a broader bearish context, as the SMA 20/50 Death Cross indicates the prevailing downtrend. The bullish signals are likely to be counter-trend, so traders should watch for a reaction at the nearest resistance of 210.203, with support at 208.232.

The trend across timeframes is predominantly bearish, with solid trends on the 15m, 30m, 1h, and 1d, while higher timeframes show choppiness or trend formation. This alignment supports the bearish bias, but the cluster of bullish signals on the 1H suggests a possible corrective move higher. The invalidation of the bullish scenario would be a break below the nearest support, which would confirm the continuation of the downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators on the 1H timeframe.
▲ Long Legged Doji indicates indecision and potential reversal.
▲ HMA Direction Up and HMA Retreat Up show short-term momentum shifting.
▲ KDJ Cross Up and ER Level Cross Up add to the bullish case.

Risk Factors

▼ The overall trend is bearish across most timeframes, which could overpower the bullish signals.
▼ The SMA Death Cross is a bearish signal that may limit upside.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 208.232 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
▼ Higher timeframe trends are bearish, so any bounce may be short-lived.