USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.03 %
Entry
158.233
Target
158.822 +0.37 %
closes in profit
Stop
157.583 −0.41 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 721 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 721 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
15 % at target avg +0.37 % 39 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 10 % at stop avg −0.42 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KDJ OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, APO Zero Cross Up +2 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +5.3 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +3% Intraday
▲ Bullish 100 % (34.89) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
USD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ KDJ OB Exit indicator 2.33
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.86
▲ APO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.79
▲ DI CROSS Cross Up indicator 1.71
▲ DM CROSS Cross Up indicator 1.51
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.30
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.11
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 0.94
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 0.85
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.65

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Momentum indicators on the 1H are aligning bullish, but the HMA direction is down, so caution is warranted.
  • The trend is bullish on the 1H and daily, but bearish on the 2H-8H, creating a mixed backdrop.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 158.51100 for a breakout; a failure there could lead to a pullback.
  • The nearest support at 157.58300 is the key invalidation level for this bullish signal.
The 1H USD/JPY signal is a BUY, supported by a cluster of momentum indicators turning bullish: the APO has crossed above zero, the DI and DM crosses indicate bullish directional movement, and the STOCH KD cross up confirms upward momentum. The KDJ has exited overbought territory, suggesting room to run, while the HMA direction is down, which introduces a note of caution. This mix of signals points to a short-term bullish impulse that may target the nearest resistance at 158.51100.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed. The 15m, 30m, and 1h charts are all bullish but choppy, with weak trend strength (1/5), while the 2h and 4h charts are bearish, and the 8h is bearish as well. However, the 12h and 1d timeframes are bullish, with the daily trend forming (2/5). This suggests that the higher-timeframe bias is still supportive, but the intermediate timeframes are not confirming. The key support at 157.58300 is the level to watch; if it holds, the bullish case remains intact, but a break below would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum indicators (APO, DI, DM, STOCH) are crossing up, confirming bullish momentum.
  • ▲ KDJ exiting overbought suggests the bullish move may have room to extend.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bullish, providing a supportive backdrop.
  • ▲ The daily trend is forming, which could lead to a stronger uptrend.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The HMA direction is down, indicating that the short-term trend may still be bearish.
  • ▼ Intermediate timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) are bearish, which could weigh on the 1H bullish signal.
  • ▼ Trend strength is weak (1/5) across most timeframes, suggesting the move may lack conviction.
  • ▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 157.58300, the bullish signal is invalidated.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-08 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.51100 2026-10-07
S1 157.58300 2026-10-08
S2 157.43800 2026-10-05
S3 156.95100 2026-10-02

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