USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-08 14:00 UTC 59 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %

Entry

158.276

Target

158.575 +0.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.583 −0.44 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,343 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,343 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Up, KAMA Retreat Up, DEMA Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↓ −1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping

▲ Bullish 92 % (36.81) ▼ Bearish 8 % (3.37)

model score 91.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPOINT Break Up	indicator	2.84
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.26
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.24
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.19
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.19
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.17
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.97
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.61
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.40
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	1.16
▲	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Up	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum on the 30-minute chart, with multiple confirmations from stochastic, Williams %R, and moving-average retreats.
Immediate upside target is the resistance at 158.40000, while support at 157.58300 is the key invalidation.
Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h) are bearish, so the signal may be a counter-trend bounce rather than a new uptrend.
The 1-day trend is turning bullish, which could eventually align with the short-term move.

A dense cluster of bullish momentum and trend-following signals has fired on the USD/JPY 30-minute chart, including a STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OB Entry, and multiple moving-average retreat-up confirmations (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA). The MIDPOINT Break Up adds a structural element, while the presence of a higher-timeframe trendline retreat-up signal suggests that the move is not purely a short-term fluctuation. With a 91% probability and very strong strength, the immediate bias is firmly bullish, targeting the nearest resistance at 158.40000.

However, the broader picture is mixed. While the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are all bullish, they are classified as choppy/sideways, and the 2h, 4h, and 8h charts remain bearish. This divergence reduces the conviction of a sustained breakout. The 1d timeframe is turning bullish, which could eventually support the move, but for now, the bullish signal is best treated as a counter-trend opportunity within a larger bearish structure. The key invalidation level is the nearest support at 157.58300; a close below that would negate the setup.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple indicators (STOCHF, WILLR, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) all pointing bullish on the 30m chart.
▲ MIDPOINT Break Up adds a structural breakout element to the signal.
▲ Higher-timeframe trendline retreat-up signal indicates potential support from a larger pattern.
▲ High probability (91%) and very strong strength rating suggest robust momentum.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ The bullish trend on lower timeframes is classified as choppy/sideways, indicating weak trend strength.
▼ A failure to break above 158.40000 could lead to a pullback; a close below 157.58300 invalidates the setup.
▼ The signal may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, increasing the risk of a false breakout.