AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-09 03:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.33 %

Entry

0.98982

Target

0.98793 +0.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.99312 −0.33 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,479 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,479 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MA Break Down, EMA Break Down, ALMA Break Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,952 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 12× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 12× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	2.78
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.55
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.01
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	1.95
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	1.84
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.75
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.68
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	1.62
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	1.48
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.26
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.03
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.94
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	0.87

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals (trendline, EMA/SMA 200, KAMA, T3, STOCH) align on the 30m chart.
Bearish trends on 15m–4h support the selloff, but higher timeframes are choppy.
Key levels: resistance at 0.99312, support at 0.98923.
Strong signal probability (79%) but watch for invalidation above 0.99312.

The AUD/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals — a Trendline Break Down, EMA and SMA 200 Retreat Downs, plus MA, KAMA, and T3 Break Downs, alongside a STOCH OB Exit. This confluence of trend, indicator, and candlestick signals points to a breakdown in the prevailing short-term structure, with price rejecting overhead resistance and rolling over. The bearish alignment across the 15m through 4h timeframes (solid 3/5 trends on 1h and 2h) supports the move, while the higher timeframes (8h to 1d) remain choppy, suggesting the current selloff is part of a broader consolidation rather than a clean trend reversal.

Immediate downside focus is the nearest support at 0.98923, with resistance overhead at 0.99312 acting as the key invalidation zone. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would negate the signal. The strong probability (79%) and multiple confirming signals increase conviction, but the choppy higher-timeframe backdrop warrants caution — traders should watch for fading momentum or a quick bounce off support.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of trendline, moving average, and stochastic signals.
▼ Bearish alignment across 15m to 4h timeframes.
▼ Strong trend scores (3/5) on 1h and 2h.
▼ STOCH OB Exit indicates momentum turning down from overbought.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8h–1d) are choppy/sideways, which may limit follow-through.
▲ Reclaim of resistance at 0.99312 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Potential for a bounce at support 0.98923 if momentum fades.
▲ Signal strength is high but a dense cluster can sometimes lead to short-term exhaustion.