AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-09 13:30 UTC 48 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %

Entry

110.419

Target

109.632 +0.71 %

closes in profit

Stop

110.645 −0.20 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,434 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,434 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, DX Trend Weak, TEMA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,441 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +4% Scalping

▲ Bullish 9 % (1.68) ▼ Bearish 91 % (16.48)

model score 8.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.9 % vs 17.9 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 11.5 % (forex, 357 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.68
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.55
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.48
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.30
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	1.13
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.83
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.83
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.75

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish momentum signals on the 30-minute chart suggests a high-probability short-term pullback.
The higher timeframes (15m-4h) are bullish, so the sell signal is counter-trend on those levels.
Watch the nearest support at 109.63200; a break below confirms bearish momentum, while a bounce could invalidate the signal.
Resistance at 110.64500 caps upside; a move above it would negate the bearish case.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, and TEMA Retreat Down, alongside STOCHF KD Cross Down and WILLR OB Exit. This broad-based selloff in oscillators and momentum indicators suggests that the recent upside push is losing steam, and a short-term pullback may be underway. The confluence of these signals on the 30-minute timeframe, combined with the very strong signal strength, points to a high-probability bearish move in the near term.

However, the higher timeframe trend is predominantly bullish, with the 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h all showing bullish trends, while only the 8h, 12h, and 1d are bearish. This creates a mixed backdrop: the immediate bearish signal is fighting against the medium-term bullish trend. The key levels to watch are the nearest support at 109.63200 and resistance at 110.64500. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and open the door for a deeper correction, while a bounce off support could invalidate the signal and see a resumption of the broader uptrend.

Catalysts

▼ Broad confluence of momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, TEMA) all signaling downside.
▼ Very strong signal strength (90% probability) increases the likelihood of the move playing out.
▼ Oscillator exits from overbought territory (WILLR OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down) suggest fading upside momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe trends (15m-4h) are bullish, which could overpower the short-term bearish signal.
▲ The nearest support at 109.63200 is close; a bounce there would invalidate the sell and could lead to a sharp reversal.
▲ The 30-minute trend itself is still bullish (3/5), so the sell signal is counter-trend on its own timeframe.
▲ If price breaks above the 110.64500 resistance, the bearish setup would be negated.