AUD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW
45 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.09 %
Entry
0.69745
Target
0.69328 +0.60 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.69892 −0.21 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 765 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 765 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
15 % at target avg +0.37 % 39 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 10 % at stop avg −0.42 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,441 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +2% Intraday
▲ Bullish 10 % (1.68) ▼ Bearish 90 % (15.16)
model score 90.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
AUD/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.13
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.04
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▼ T3 Retreat Down indicator 1.81
▲ DX Trend Strong indicator 1.68
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.49
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.14
▼ STC OB Entry indicator 1.04
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.88

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The 1H signal is strongly bearish with eight indicators confirming downside momentum.
  • Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are all bearish, supporting the sell signal.
  • Key resistance at 0.69892 and support at 0.69328 are the levels to watch.
  • Watch for a possible bullish pullback on the 30M/1H before the next leg down.
The 1H AUD/USD signal is firmly bearish, with a cluster of eight indicators aligning to confirm downward momentum. The BOP Zero Cross Down signals a shift in buying pressure, while the DX Trend Strong indicates a powerful trend. The retreats of the EMA 200, MAMA PRICE, T3, ER, and ALMA all confirm that price is pulling back from higher levels, and the STC OB Entry suggests an overbought condition ripe for a sell. This confluence of signals points to a strong bearish push on the 1H timeframe.

Across timeframes, the trend is mixed but leans bearish on the higher timeframes. The 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all show solid bearish trends, providing a strong backdrop for the 1H sell signal. However, the 30M and 1H are currently showing a bullish trend forming, which could create some near-term resistance to the downside. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.69892, which could act as a ceiling, and the nearest support at 0.69328, which is the immediate downside target. A break below this support would likely accelerate the bearish move.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong alignment of multiple indicators on the 1H timeframe.
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) all show solid bearish trends.
  • ▼ Overbought STC entry suggests room for a downside move.
  • ▼ Price is retreating from the EMA 200, confirming bearish momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 30M and 1H timeframes are showing a bullish trend forming, which could lead to a bounce.
  • ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 0.69892, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the DX Trend Strength weakens.
  • ▲ The 15M timeframe is choppy, indicating potential consolidation before the move.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 90%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-09 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.69892 2026-10-06
R2 0.69951 2026-09-30
S1 0.69328 2026-10-08
S2 0.69323 2026-10-05
S3 0.69038 2026-10-01

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