AVA/XUSDT – 30M – SELL
SELL 1× UPDATEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
This trade, as of now: about 40 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 35 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.
Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, TEMA Retreat Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down +8 more
Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,441 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(9 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Downbreak + retest | trendline | 2.58 |
| ▼ | TEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.13 |
| ▲ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▼ | BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.61 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.58 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▼ | QSTICK Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.18 |
| ▼ | Belt Hold Bearish | candlestick | 1.03 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- A strong bearish signal cluster on the 30m chart, led by a trendline break and multiple momentum zero-cross downs.
- Shorter timeframes (15m/30m) are still bullish, while higher timeframes (1h-12h) are bearish, creating a mixed but downward-leaning bias.
- Key levels: resistance at 11.40600 and support at 9.76400; a break below support could confirm continuation.
- The daily trend is solidly bullish, so this sell signal may be a pullback within a larger uptrend.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish: the 1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h timeframes are all bearish, with the 2h showing a solid trend (score 3/5). However, the 15m and 30m are still bullish, and the 1d is solidly bullish (3/5), which suggests the sell signal is a counter-trend move within a larger daily uptrend. Key levels to watch are resistance at 11.40600 and support at 9.76400. A break below the nearest support could accelerate the downside, while a reclaim of the trendline break or a hold above the 30m bullish structure would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▼ High confluence of signals: trendline break, momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing below zero, and STOCHF KD cross down.
- ▼ Bearish alignment across multiple timeframes (1h-12h), with the 2h showing a solid trend.
- ▼ Retreat from the upper Bollinger Band and TEMA suggests rejection at resistance levels.
- ▼ Strong probability (93%) and very strong signal strength.
- ▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are still bullish, which could mean the sell signal is a short-term pullback rather than a reversal.
- ▲ The 1d timeframe is solidly bullish (3/5), implying the larger trend may resume upward, limiting downside.
- ▲ A break back above the trendline or the 30m bullish structure would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if price holds above the nearest support at 9.76400, leading to a sideways consolidation.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 11.40600 | 2026-10-07 |
| R2 | 11.73000 | 2026-10-06 |
| S1 | 9.76400 | 2026-10-08 |