ETH/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED

2026-10-09 20:30 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.27 %

Entry

2,483.22

Target

2,520.54 +1.50 %

closes in profit

Stop

2,476.87 −0.26 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (4 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 8

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 7,829 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 7,829 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

35 % at target avg +1.08 % 20 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Up, CCI OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,441 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 100 % (11.45) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.5 % vs 33.8 % on average · stopped out 46.8 % vs 21.7 % (crypto, 1,957 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.19
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.98
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.83
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.47
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.43
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.36
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.16

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term bullish momentum is firing on the 30-minute chart, but the higher timeframes are all bearish.
The signal is a counter-trend bounce, not a reversal — expect limited upside unless resistance breaks.
Watch the 2520.54 resistance; a break above could extend the bounce, but the 2h/4h downtrend is strong.
Invalidation is below the 2476.87 support; a close below that negates the bullish setup.

The 30-minute chart for ETH/USDT has fired a cluster of oversold-exit and momentum signals — CCI OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit, KDJ Cross Up, and HMA Break Up — alongside a TTM TREND Trend Up. This suggests a short-term bullish reversal attempt after a sharp decline. However, the broader trend remains firmly bearish: the 2-hour and 4-hour timeframes both show very strong downtrends, and the daily is solidly bearish. The 30-minute signal is therefore a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, not a trend reversal.

For this bounce to gain traction, price must hold above the nearest support at 2476.87 and push through the nearest resistance at 2520.54. A break above that resistance would open the door to a deeper retracement, but the heavier resistance from the higher timeframes (e.g., the 4-hour trend) is likely to cap upside. The probability score of 89% reflects the strength of the short-term momentum cluster, but it does not override the bearish higher-timeframe alignment. Traders should treat this as a tactical long with tight risk management, not a trend-following position.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold exit signals (CCI, WILLR) and a KDJ cross up indicate strong short-term buying pressure.
▲ HMA break up and direction up, plus TTM TREND turning up, confirm momentum shift on the 30-minute timeframe.
▲ The signal cluster is very strong (89% probability) and all indicators agree on the same direction.
▲ Price is near a defined support level (2476.87), providing a clear reference for a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ The 2-hour and 4-hour timeframes are in very strong downtrends, which can easily overwhelm a 30-minute bounce.
▼ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are still bearish and choppy, so the bounce may lack follow-through.
▼ If price fails to break above 2520.54, the bounce could stall and reverse, risking a break of support.
▼ Momentum signals like CCI/WILLR exits are prone to false signals in a strong downtrend — watch for a close below 2476.87 as invalidation.