EUR/AUD – 1H – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED
19 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.17 %
Entry
1.60598
Target
1.61209 +0.38 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.59064 −0.96 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 6 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 784 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 784 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
15 % at target avg +0.37 % 39 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 10 % at stop avg −0.41 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat, STOCH KD Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,952 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Intraday
▲ Bullish 100 % (5.59) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 7 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 6.5 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 11.5 % (forex, 475 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/AUD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 1h 100%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.49
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.74
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.50
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.31
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.30
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 1.29
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.07

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish reversal signals on 1H suggest a potential bounce, but they are counter-trend against a broader bearish structure.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 1.61209 for upside potential; a break above could extend the correction.
  • The invalidation level is support at 1.60565; a close below it would negate the bullish setup.
  • Higher timeframes (15m to 8h) are bearish, so treat this as a tactical long with tight risk.
The EUR/AUD 1H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, led by a Trendline Break Up and a BOP Zero Cross Up, with supporting momentum signals (RSI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, KDJ Cross Up) and a KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat. This suggests a short-term bullish reversal attempt within a broader bearish context. The confluence of these signals points to a potential bounce off the lower boundary of the recent range, with the nearest resistance at 1.61209 as the immediate upside target. However, the higher timeframes (15m through 8h) remain firmly bearish, and the 12h and 1d are choppy/sideways, indicating that this is a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.

Traders should watch the price action around the nearest resistance at 1.61209; a break above could signal a stronger correction, while a failure to hold above the trendline break level (near the support at 1.60565) would invalidate the bullish signal. The strong trend scores on the lower timeframes (15m at 4/5) suggest that the immediate momentum is bearish, so the bullish signal should be treated as a tactical long within a prevailing downtrend, with tight risk management. The key support at 1.60565 is the invalidation level; a close below it would negate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators (trendline break, BOP, RSI, STOCH, KDJ) on the 1H timeframe.
  • ▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat suggests the price is bouncing off the lower band, a typical reversal trigger.
  • ▲ The trendline break up indicates a shift in short-term supply/demand dynamics.
  • ▲ The nearest support at 1.60565 is holding, providing a base for the bounce.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Strong bearish trend on lower timeframes (15m at 4/5) could overpower the 1H bullish signals, leading to a failed bounce.
  • ▼ The 12h and 1d timeframes are choppy/sideways, lacking a clear bullish trend to support a sustained move.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 1.61209 is close, limiting upside potential and increasing the risk of a rejection.
  • ▼ A close below the nearest support at 1.60565 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-09 15:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.61209 2026-10-08
R2 1.61456 2026-10-06
R3 1.63352 2026-09-30
S1 1.60565 2026-10-08
S2 1.60470 2026-10-07

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