EUR/AUD – 30M – BUY
BUY 5× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, HMA Retreat Up, CCI OS Exit +3 more
Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,952 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 11× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 03:30 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Break Upbreak + retest | trendline | 2.44 |
| ▲ | HMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | CCI OS Exit | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Exit | indicator | 1.39 |
| ▲ | KDJ OS Exit | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▼ | KST Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.25 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- A cluster of oversold exit signals and a trendline break suggest a short-term bullish reversal on the 30-minute chart.
- The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend move with limited upside potential.
- Key levels: resistance at 1.61209 and support at 1.60866; a break below support invalidates the bullish setup.
- The signal strength is very strong, but the probability of 88% is based on short-term indicators, not the higher timeframe trend.
However, the broader trend context remains bearish across all timeframes, with the 4-hour showing a solid downtrend. This creates a conflict between the short-term bullish signals and the longer-term bearish trend. The 30-minute trend is still forming (2/5), indicating that the bullish reversal is not yet confirmed. The key level to watch is the nearest support at 1.60866; a break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a continuation of the broader downtrend. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure, with limited upside potential unless the 1-hour and higher timeframes begin to show bullish alignment.
- ▲ Multiple oversold exit signals (CCI, WILLR, KDJ) and a STOCH KD cross up indicate strong short-term momentum shift.
- ▲ Trendline Break Up confirms a change in the short-term price structure.
- ▲ The 4-hour trend is solid bearish, but the 30-minute signals are firing together, suggesting a sharp bounce is likely.
- ▲ The proximity to support at 1.60866 provides a clear invalidation level, allowing for a defined risk.
- ▼ The bearish trend across all timeframes, especially the solid 4-hour downtrend, could overpower the short-term bullish signals.
- ▼ The 30-minute trend is only 2/5, meaning the bullish reversal is not yet confirmed and could fail.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 1.60866 would invalidate the setup and likely lead to a continuation of the downtrend.
- ▼ The KST Zero Cross Down is a bearish signal that may indicate that the bounce is merely a retracement within a larger downtrend.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.61209 | 2026-10-08 |
| R2 | 1.61320 | 2026-10-07 |
| R3 | 1.61456 | 2026-10-06 |
| S1 | 1.60866 | 2026-10-09 |
| S2 | 1.60773 | 2026-10-08 |
| S3 | 1.60565 | 2026-10-08 |