EUR/AUD – 30M – BUY

BUY 5× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.19 %
Entry
1.60958
Target
1.61320 +0.22 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.60565 −0.24 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,479 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,479 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, HMA Retreat Up, CCI OS Exit +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,952 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 6.5 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 11.5 % (forex, 475 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/AUD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 3%
conviction per candle 11× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 11× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 03:30 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.44
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.63
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.55
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.39
▲ KDJ OS Exit indicator 1.34
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.29
▼ KST Zero Cross Down indicator 1.25

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A cluster of oversold exit signals and a trendline break suggest a short-term bullish reversal on the 30-minute chart.
  • The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend move with limited upside potential.
  • Key levels: resistance at 1.61209 and support at 1.60866; a break below support invalidates the bullish setup.
  • The signal strength is very strong, but the probability of 88% is based on short-term indicators, not the higher timeframe trend.
The EUR/AUD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, KDJ OS Exit, and HMA Retreat Up. These indicators collectively suggest that the short-term bearish momentum is waning and that a bounce from oversold conditions is underway. The KST Zero Cross Down, while typically bearish, may be reflecting a deceleration in downside momentum, which aligns with the other exit signals. The confluence of these signals points to a potential short-term reversal or a corrective rally, with the nearest resistance at 1.61209 as the immediate upside target.

However, the broader trend context remains bearish across all timeframes, with the 4-hour showing a solid downtrend. This creates a conflict between the short-term bullish signals and the longer-term bearish trend. The 30-minute trend is still forming (2/5), indicating that the bullish reversal is not yet confirmed. The key level to watch is the nearest support at 1.60866; a break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a continuation of the broader downtrend. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure, with limited upside potential unless the 1-hour and higher timeframes begin to show bullish alignment.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oversold exit signals (CCI, WILLR, KDJ) and a STOCH KD cross up indicate strong short-term momentum shift.
  • ▲ Trendline Break Up confirms a change in the short-term price structure.
  • ▲ The 4-hour trend is solid bearish, but the 30-minute signals are firing together, suggesting a sharp bounce is likely.
  • ▲ The proximity to support at 1.60866 provides a clear invalidation level, allowing for a defined risk.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The bearish trend across all timeframes, especially the solid 4-hour downtrend, could overpower the short-term bullish signals.
  • ▼ The 30-minute trend is only 2/5, meaning the bullish reversal is not yet confirmed and could fail.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 1.60866 would invalidate the setup and likely lead to a continuation of the downtrend.
  • ▼ The KST Zero Cross Down is a bearish signal that may indicate that the bounce is merely a retracement within a larger downtrend.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 3%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-09 06:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.61209 2026-10-08
R2 1.61320 2026-10-07
R3 1.61456 2026-10-06
S1 1.60866 2026-10-09
S2 1.60773 2026-10-08
S3 1.60565 2026-10-08

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