USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-09 12:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %

Entry

158.214

Target

158.512 +0.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.520 −0.44 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,434 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,434 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSX OB Exit, KAMA Retreat Up, SMA 50 Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,441 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.7 % ↓ −21.3 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping

▲ Bullish 100 % (30.56) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 26.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.9 % vs 17.9 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 11.5 % (forex, 357 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	2.22
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.98
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.95
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	1.93
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.92
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.89
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.88
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.80
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.28
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, with high probability (89%).
The move is counter-trend: most higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H) are bearish.
Key resistance at 158.36900; a break above could open further upside, while failure risks a pullback.
Support at 157.52000 is the immediate downside level to watch for invalidation.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO Zero Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up, alongside multiple moving-average retreats (EMA 200, KAMA, MA). This confluence suggests strong short-term buying momentum as price rebounds from oversold conditions. The signal's high probability (89%) and very strong strength reflect the breadth of indicators aligning in the same direction, pointing to a potential continuation of the upward move.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 30-minute and 12-hour timeframes are bullish, the 15-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, and 8-hour timeframes remain bearish, indicating that the current bullish signal is a counter-trend move against the dominant downtrend. The nearest resistance at 158.36900 is a critical level to watch; a break above it could signal a shift in the medium-term trend, while failure to hold above it may see price retreat toward support at 157.52000. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a larger bearish structure, with tight risk management.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, BBANDS) all crossing up simultaneously, indicating strong momentum.
▲ Moving-average retreats (EMA 200, KAMA, MA) confirm price is reclaiming key dynamic levels.
▲ The bullish trend on the 12-hour and daily timeframes provides longer-term support for the move.
▲ The signal's very strong strength and high probability suggest high conviction among technical factors.

Risk Factors

▼ The bearish trend on the 1H, 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes could overpower the 30M bullish signal, leading to a failed breakout.
▼ Resistance at 158.36900 is a nearby ceiling; if price fails to break above, the bullish momentum may fade.
▼ The 30M trend is described as 'choppy/sideways', indicating low trend strength that could result in whipsaws.
▼ A drop below support at 157.52000 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely trigger a continuation lower.