XRP/USDT – 30M – SELL
SELL 2× UPDATEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 35 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.
Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down +10 more
Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,441 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(9 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC, updated 2× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.29 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.28 |
| ▼ | EMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.20 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.19 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.19 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.06 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▲ | QSTICK Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▲ | MOM Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.25 |
| ▲ | ROC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.25 |
| ▲ | ROCR Cross Up | indicator | 1.25 |
| ▲ | VORTEX Cross Up | indicator | 1.15 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 0.98 |
| ▼ | Spinning Top Bearish | candlestick | 0.98 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Bearish momentum is building on the 30-minute timeframe, backed by multiple indicator crossovers.
- Higher timeframes (2h, 4h) strongly favor the downside, but the daily trend is still bullish.
- Watch support at 1.31890; a break below would confirm the bearish signal.
- Resistance at 1.40740 is the key level to reclaim for the bull case.
Across higher timeframes, the bearish case strengthens: the 2-hour chart shows a very strong downtrend (4/5), the 4-hour is solidly bearish (3/5), and the 1-hour is forming a bearish trend (2/5). However, the 15-minute and 30-minute trends are still labeled bullish but choppy, which creates a mixed near-term picture. The daily trend remains bullish (3/5), suggesting this is a pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a full reversal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.40740 and support at 1.31890; a break below support would confirm the bearish move, while reclaiming resistance would invalidate it.
- ▼ Strong confluence of bearish signals across multiple indicator groups (momentum, trend, candlestick).
- ▼ Higher timeframe alignment: 2h and 4h are clearly bearish, supporting the 30m signal.
- ▼ RSI midline cross down and STOCHF KD cross down indicate momentum is turning lower.
- ▼ EMA 50 retreat suggests the short-term trend is rolling over.
- ▲ The 15m and 30m trends are still labeled bullish, which could lead to choppy, sideways price action.
- ▲ The daily trend is bullish (3/5), so this could be a pullback within an uptrend rather than a reversal.
- ▲ If price reclaims resistance at 1.40740, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
- ▲ Some momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) show zero cross ups, which could signal a short-term bounce.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.40740 | 2026-10-09 |
| R2 | 1.41820 | 2026-10-08 |
| R3 | 1.42950 | 2026-10-08 |
| S1 | 1.31890 | 2026-10-08 |