ADA/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-12 20:30 UTC 53 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +1.69 %

Entry

0.2431

Target

0.2353 +3.21 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.2561 −5.35 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (4 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 8

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 8,475 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 8,475 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.09 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.03 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.06 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 20,961 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 6 % (1.79) ▼ Bearish 94 % (27.46)

model score 93.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Oct 2026, 21:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.41
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.69
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.10
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.89
▼	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish alignment on the 30m and 1h timeframes, with a 94% probability signal.
Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, moving averages, Supertrend) all point lower.
Key resistance at 0.25610 caps upside; support at 0.23530 is the next downside target.
Higher timeframes are mixed, so the bearish move may be limited to intraday.

The 30-minute ADA/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (EMA, SMA, HMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) alongside a Supertrend Leg2 Down. This alignment of momentum, trend, and volatility indicators points to sustained selling pressure on the intraday timeframe, with the 30m trend score at 3/5 confirming a solid bearish bias.

Broader timeframes are mixed but lean bearish: the 1h is also bearish, while 2h through 8h are choppy/sideways with bearish lean. The 15m and daily timeframes are bullish, but their trend scores are weak (2/5 and 2/5 respectively), suggesting limited upside pull. The nearest resistance at 0.25610 is the immediate barrier for any bounce, while support at 0.23530 is the key downside target. A break below that support would open the door for a deeper decline, but until then, the bearish momentum is likely to persist.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of momentum, trend, and volatility signals all firing bearish simultaneously.
▼ The 30m trend score of 3/5 confirms a solid bearish trend, not just a flash signal.
▼ Price is below key moving averages on the 30m, reinforcing the retreat signals.
▼ The daily and 15m bullish trends are weak, limiting counter-trend strength.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m and daily timeframes are bullish, which could trigger a bounce if momentum shifts.
▲ The 2h through 8h timeframes are choppy/sideways, so the trend may not be strong enough for a sustained move.
▲ If price breaks back above resistance at 0.25610, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ The 94% probability is high, but such signals can still fail, especially in low-liquidity periods.