ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-12 17:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.18 %

Entry

2,509.30

Target

2,497.85 +0.46 %

closes in profit

Stop

2,579.88 −2.81 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (4 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 8,475 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 8,475 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.09 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.03 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.06 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout +7 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 20,961 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −2.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 6 % (1.57) ▼ Bearish 94 % (24.89)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Oct 2026, 17:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.65
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.53
▼	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.40
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.33
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.30
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.08
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.78
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.57

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 30M ETH/USDT with 94% probability and very strong strength.
Multiple indicators confirm downside: ADX, Bollinger Bands, moving averages, and MAMA all breaking down.
Key support at 2497.85; a break below could accelerate decline. Resistance at 2579.88 is the invalidation level.
Mixed higher timeframes (2H and 4H bullish) warrant caution; watch for potential support bounce.

The 30-minute ETH/USDT chart has triggered a very strong bearish signal, with a 94% probability and a confluence of multiple indicators. The ADX Trend Strong confirms a robust downtrend, while the breakdowns and retreats across Bollinger Bands, DEMA, EMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, and T3 all align, indicating sustained selling pressure. This bearish momentum is supported by the broader trend structure: the 15m, 30m, 1h, 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are all bearish, with the daily timeframe showing a solid trend. However, the 2h and 4h timeframes are still bullish, suggesting potential conflicting higher-timeframe support. The nearest resistance is at 2579.88, and the nearest support is at 2497.85; a break below support could extend the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

The alignment of signals across multiple indicators and timeframes strengthens the bearish case, but traders should be cautious of the bullish 2h and 4h trends, which may provide a floor. The key levels to watch are the support at 2497.85 and resistance at 2579.88. A decisive close below support would confirm the downside, whereas a bounce off support or a break above resistance would signal a potential reversal. Given the very strong signal strength, the bearish bias is favored, but risk management is essential due to the mixed higher-timeframe signals.

Catalysts

▼ Strong trend alignment across most timeframes (15m to 1d bearish, with 1d solid).
▼ High confluence of indicators all pointing to bearish momentum.
▼ ADX Trend Strong confirms the strength of the downtrend.
▼ Very strong signal strength (94% probability) increases confidence.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe bullish trends (2H and 4H) could provide support and trigger a reversal.
▲ If price holds above support and reclaims resistance at 2579.88, the bearish signal is invalidated.
▲ Momentum may fade if the price approaches the support level, leading to a bounce.
▲ The signal is on a short timeframe (30M), so it may be susceptible to whipsaws in ranging conditions.