EUR/GBP – 4H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-12 04:00 UTC 13 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.15 %

Entry

0.84624

Target

0.84214 +0.48 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.84870 −0.29 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 316 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 316 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +0.39 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 34 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.32 % 16 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 20,961 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +18% Swing

▲ Bullish 6 % (3.61) ▼ Bearish 94 % (60.85)

model score 12.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.66
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.47
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.41
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.31
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.30
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.23
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.83
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.54
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.93
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.88

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on EUR/GBP 4H with very high probability (96%).
Multiple indicators and candlestick patterns align to confirm selling pressure.
Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with very strong momentum on key charts.
Watch nearest resistance at 0.84870 and support at 0.84476 for breakout or reversal.

The EUR/GBP 4H signal is a SELL with very strong strength (96% probability), driven by a broad set of bearish indicators and candlestick patterns. The confluence of BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, and KAMA Retreat Down, among others, points to persistent selling pressure. The retreats from key moving averages and trendlines reinforce the bearish momentum, while the Bollinger Bands lower retreat up suggests a temporary bounce that is likely to be sold into.

Trend alignment across timeframes is overwhelmingly bearish, with very strong trends on the 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H charts, and solid bearish trends on the 30M and 1D. The 15M shows a forming bearish trend, indicating early momentum. The nearest resistance at 0.84870 is the immediate barrier to any upside correction, while the nearest support at 0.84476 is the first downside target. A break below this support could open the path for further declines, though a failure to hold the support might trigger a short-term bounce.

Catalysts

▼ Bearish trend alignment across all timeframes, with very strong scores on 1H to 12H.
▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals: BOP zero cross down, STOCHRSI cross down, EMA/HT trendline/KAMA retreat down.
▼ Price retreating from key moving averages and trendlines, indicating rejection of higher levels.
▼ High signal probability (96%) and very strong strength.

Risk Factors

▲ Potential short-term bounce from oversold conditions, as indicated by CCI OS Exit and STOCH KD Cross Up.
▲ Nearest support at 0.84476 could act as a floor; a break below is needed for continuation.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 0.84870, the bearish setup may weaken.
▲ Momentum fading could lead to consolidation; watch for a reversal candlestick pattern.