LUN/CUSDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-12 17:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.24 %

Entry

0.00004986

Target

0.00004830 +3.13 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00005184 −3.97 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 8,475 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 8,475 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.09 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.03 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.06 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down, DEMA Break Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 20,961 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

54.5 % ↑ +11.7 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 37 % (5.66) ▼ Bearish 63 % (9.48)

model score 62.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Oct 2026, 17:32 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	3.11
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.75
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.34
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.03
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.94
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	1.52
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.45
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	0.98
▲	Southern Doji	candlestick	0.84

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish alignment on 15m and 30m, with multiple moving average breakdowns confirming downside momentum.
Higher timeframes are choppy, so the sell signal is best suited for short-term trades.
Key levels are clustered at 0.00005; a break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move above resistance would invalidate the setup.
ADXR confirms trend strength, but the HT PHASOR cross up hints at possible short-term counter-trend pressure.

The 30-minute SELL signal for LUN/CUSDT is driven by a cluster of trend-following indicators confirming downside momentum. ADXR indicates a strong trend, while multiple moving average breakdowns (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, SMA) and midpoint/midprice breakdowns align to signal sustained selling pressure. The HT PHASOR inphase cross up adds a short-term counter-trend nuance, but the overall bearish setup dominates.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, though conviction is strongest on the 15m and 30m charts (solid trend) and weakest on higher timeframes, which remain choppy or sideways. This suggests the current move is a short-term downtrend within a broader consolidation. Key levels are tight: nearest resistance and support are both at 0.00005, indicating a compressed range that could see a sharp move if either level breaks. Traders should watch for a decisive break below support to confirm continuation, or a reclaim of resistance to invalidate the bearish signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving average breakdowns (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, SMA) reinforce the bearish trend.
▼ ADXR indicates a strong trend, supporting the validity of the sell signal.
▼ Consistent bearish bias across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes adds confluence.
▼ Midpoint and midprice breakdowns confirm price is trading below key dynamic levels.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 1d) are choppy/sideways, which could limit the downside follow-through.
▲ The HT PHASOR inphase cross up suggests a possible short-term bounce risk.
▲ Nearest support and resistance are at the same level (0.00005), making the range tight and prone to false breakouts.
▲ If price reclaims the 0.00005 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.