AVA/XUSDT – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.46 %
Entry
10.283
Target
10.609 +3.17 %
closes in profit
Stop
9.812 −4.58 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 8,722 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 8,722 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
34 % at target avg +1.09 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 23 % at stop avg −1.52 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ULTOSC OS Exit, STOCH OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 21,675 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.9 % ↓ −3.1 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Scalping
▲ Bullish 85 % (10.68) ▼ Bearish 15 % (1.90)
model score 4.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.2 % vs 32.8 % on average · stopped out 38.0 % vs 21.3 % (crypto, 1,330 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AVA/XUSDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 4%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 11:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ULTOSC OS Exit indicator 1.95
▼ QQE Midline Cross Down indicator 1.90
▲ STOCH OS Exit indicator 1.80
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.62
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.46
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.44
▲ RSX OS Entry indicator 1.12
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 1.05

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

The 30-minute chart for AVA/USDT has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including an oversold exit in the stochastic and Williams %R, a bullish cross in StochRSI, and a zero-cross up in the Balance of Power indicator. The presence of a Bullish Spinning Top candlestick adds a reversal flavor, suggesting that selling pressure may be exhausting in the short term. However, this bounce attempt is occurring within a broader bearish trend across most timeframes, with the 15-minute and 1-hour charts showing solid bearish trends. The daily timeframe remains bullish, providing a potential longer-term backdrop, but the immediate pressure is downward.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 10.60900, which could cap any upside, and the nearest support at 9.81200, which if broken would invalidate the bullish case. The confluence of multiple oversold indicators and a candlestick pattern gives the signal a strong probability (84%), but the alignment with the higher timeframe trend is poor. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend bounce within a bearish structure, with limited upside potential unless price can break above resistance. The signal is best suited for short-term scalping, with tight risk management.

Takeaways:
- A cluster of oversold indicators and a bullish candlestick suggest a short-term bounce is likely.
- The broader trend is bearish across most timeframes, so this is a counter-trend signal.
- Watch the 10.60900 resistance; a break could open the door for further upside, but failure may lead to a retest of support.
- The daily bullish trend offers some hope, but the immediate bias is down.

Catalysts:
- Multiple oversold indicators (STOCH, ULTOSC, WILLR) exiting oversold territory, indicating a shift in momentum.
- Bullish StochRSI cross and RSX oversold entry add to the reversal evidence.
- The Spinning Top candlestick suggests indecision and potential reversal.
- The daily timeframe is bullish, which may provide underlying support.

Risks:
- The bearish trend across 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, and 12h timeframes could overpower the bounce.
- The resistance at 10.60900 is a nearby barrier that may limit upside.
- If price breaks below the 9.81200 support, the bullish signal is invalidated.
- Momentum indicators may fade quickly in a strong downtrend, leading to a failed bounce.
Symbol AVA/XUSDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 4%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-13 11:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 10.60900 2026-10-13
R2 11.11500 2026-10-12
R3 11.40600 2026-10-07
S1 9.81200 2026-10-13
S2 9.76400 2026-10-08

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