AVA/XUSDT – 30M – BUY
BUY NEWWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.
Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: ULTOSC OS Exit, STOCH OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up +4 more
Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 21,675 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(13 Oct 2026, 11:32 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | ULTOSC OS Exit | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▼ | QQE Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.90 |
| ▲ | STOCH OS Exit | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▲ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Exit | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▲ | RSX OS Entry | indicator | 1.12 |
| ▲ | Spinning Top Bullish | candlestick | 1.05 |
Trend Context
Analysis
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 10.60900, which could cap any upside, and the nearest support at 9.81200, which if broken would invalidate the bullish case. The confluence of multiple oversold indicators and a candlestick pattern gives the signal a strong probability (84%), but the alignment with the higher timeframe trend is poor. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend bounce within a bearish structure, with limited upside potential unless price can break above resistance. The signal is best suited for short-term scalping, with tight risk management.
Takeaways:
- A cluster of oversold indicators and a bullish candlestick suggest a short-term bounce is likely.
- The broader trend is bearish across most timeframes, so this is a counter-trend signal.
- Watch the 10.60900 resistance; a break could open the door for further upside, but failure may lead to a retest of support.
- The daily bullish trend offers some hope, but the immediate bias is down.
Catalysts:
- Multiple oversold indicators (STOCH, ULTOSC, WILLR) exiting oversold territory, indicating a shift in momentum.
- Bullish StochRSI cross and RSX oversold entry add to the reversal evidence.
- The Spinning Top candlestick suggests indecision and potential reversal.
- The daily timeframe is bullish, which may provide underlying support.
Risks:
- The bearish trend across 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, and 12h timeframes could overpower the bounce.
- The resistance at 10.60900 is a nearby barrier that may limit upside.
- If price breaks below the 9.81200 support, the bullish signal is invalidated.
- Momentum indicators may fade quickly in a strong downtrend, leading to a failed bounce.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 10.60900 | 2026-10-13 |
| R2 | 11.11500 | 2026-10-12 |
| R3 | 11.40600 | 2026-10-07 |
| S1 | 9.81200 | 2026-10-13 |
| S2 | 9.76400 | 2026-10-08 |