AUD/CAD – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %
Entry
0.99241
Target
0.98799 +0.45 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.99757 −0.52 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 567 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 567 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.40 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 38 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 12 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MA Break Down, KAMA Break Down, DEMA Retreat Down +16 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 22,209 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +15% Intraday
▲ Bullish 4 % (2.47) ▼ Bearish 96 % (57.89)
model score 95.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
AUD/CAD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MA Break Down indicator 2.42
▼ KAMA Break Down indicator 2.27
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.18
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.17
▼ SMA Break Down indicator 2.10
▼ MIDPRICE Break Down indicator 2.04
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 2.03
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 2.03
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 2.03
▼ EMA Break Down indicator 1.98
▼ HT TRENDLINE Break Down indicator 1.98
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 1.98
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.80
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.79
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.78
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 1.59
▼ KST Signal Cross Down indicator 1.28
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.14
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 1.14
▲ KDJ OS Entry indicator 1.09

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal cluster on the 2H chart, with multiple momentum and trend indicators aligned.
  • Bearish trend across lower timeframes (15m to 2H) supports the sell signal.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.99757, support at 0.99048; a break below support could extend the decline.
  • Higher timeframes are still bullish, so watch for potential trend conflict or a bounce.
The AUD/CAD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including MOM, ROC, and ROCR zero cross downs, along with EMA, KAMA, and MA break downs, and a break of a HT trendline. This confluence indicates strong downward momentum and a potential trend reversal. The bearish alignment is consistent across the 15m to 2H timeframes, with trend strength solidifying on the 15m and forming on higher intraday frames, suggesting the selling pressure is building.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.99757 and support at 0.99048. A sustained break below support could open the door for further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. However, higher timeframes (12H and 1D) remain bullish, albeit choppy, which could limit the downside or lead to a pullback. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and the strength of the bearish momentum.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing below zero, confirming bearish momentum.
  • ▼ Breakdown of key moving averages (EMA, KAMA, MA) and a trendline, indicating a shift in trend structure.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trend across multiple intraday timeframes (15m to 2H), showing alignment.
  • ▼ Signal probability of 95% and very strong strength, suggesting high conviction in the move.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframe trends (12H, 1D) are still bullish, which could lead to a trend reversal or a pullback.
  • ▲ The 4H and 8H trends are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of strong momentum on those frames.
  • ▲ The nearest support at 0.99048 is a key level; a bounce from there could invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 0.99757, the bearish signal would be negated.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 96%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-14 20:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.99757 2026-10-09
R2 0.99962 2026-09-21
S1 0.99048 2026-10-14
S2 0.98799 2026-10-09
S3 0.98283 2026-10-02

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