AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-10-14 03:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.10 %

Entry

110.611

Target

110.825 +0.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

110.028 −0.53 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,594 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,594 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.24 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up +20 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 21,675 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↓ −1.7 vs previous candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +4% Scalping

▲ Bullish 90 % (41.94) ▼ Bearish 10 % (4.41)

model score 90.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.2 % vs 17.3 % on average · stopped out 15.1 % vs 11.4 % (forex, 410 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.10
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.08
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.06
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.05
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.01
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.00
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.94
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.89
▲	AROON Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▲	AROONOSC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.80
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.76
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.51
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.36
▲	Long Line Bullish	candlestick	1.18
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.13
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.08

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum on the 30-minute chart, but it's against a broader bearish trend.
Multiple indicators confirm the move, but a STOCH cross down hints at possible near-term pullback.
Watch the 110.660 resistance and 110.028 support for direction confirmation.
The mixed higher timeframe trends argue for a cautious approach.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by an AROON Cross Up and AROON Strong Uptrend, with additional confirmations from BOP, MOM, ROC, and ROCR zero-line crosses. The momentum shift is reinforced by a candlestick pattern group, though the STOCH KD Cross Down suggests some near-term exhaustion. The confluence of these indicators points to a potential short-term upside push, with the immediate focus on the nearest resistance at 110.660.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes show bullish bias, the 30-minute, 2-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour trends are bearish, and the daily is also bearish. This divergence suggests the bullish signal is a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The signal's high probability (97%) and strong strength reflect the intraday momentum, but traders should be cautious about the sustainability of the move. The key levels to watch are the resistance at 110.660 and support at 110.028; a break above resistance could open the door for further gains, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish case.

Catalysts

▲ High-probability (97%) and very strong signal strength.
▲ Multiple indicator groups (AROON, BOP, MOM, ROC) align bullishly.
▲ Bullish bias on the 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes supports the move.
▲ Candlestick pattern group adds confluence.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (30m, 2h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, suggesting this could be a counter-trend bounce.
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicates potential momentum exhaustion.
▼ A break below 110.028 support would invalidate the bullish signal.
▼ Nearby resistance at 110.660 could cap upside.