AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY 1× UPDATEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: Ascending Triangle, Trendline Break Up, DEMA Retreat Up +13 more
Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 21,675 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(14 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Ascending Trianglebreak + retest | chart_pattern | 3.09 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Upbreak + retest | trendline | 2.24 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.07 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.07 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.03 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.02 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.83 |
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 1.79 |
| ▲ | ALMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.32 |
| ▲ | Bullish Harami | candlestick | 1.31 |
| ▲ | STC OS Entry | indicator | 1.11 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend | indicator | 1.04 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 0.92 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Strong bullish confluence on the 30-minute chart, with a Trendline Break Up and Ascending Triangle breakout leading the signal.
- Momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, WILLR) and moving-average retreats all align to confirm the bullish move.
- Support at 110.38200 is the critical level to hold; a break below would invalidate the setup.
- Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend.
Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent from the 15-minute up to the 2-hour, though the 4-hour is only mildly bullish and the 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts remain bearish. This means the current long signal is best viewed as a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The nearest support at 110.38200 is the key level to watch—if price holds above it, the bullish case remains intact; a break below would invalidate the setup. With resistance not defined, upside may be open, but the higher timeframe bearish pressure warrants caution.
- ▲ Multiple signal groups (trendline, indicator, candlestick, chart pattern) firing simultaneously, indicating strong confluence.
- ▲ Ascending Triangle breakout and Trendline Break Up provide clear structural bullish signals.
- ▲ Momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, WILLR) all confirm bullish momentum, with no conflicting bearish signals on the 30-minute timeframe.
- ▲ Consistent bullish trend across 15-minute to 2-hour timeframes supports the short-term move.
- ▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
- ▼ The 4-hour trend is only mildly bullish and choppy, suggesting limited conviction above the 30-minute timeframe.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 110.38200 would invalidate the bullish setup.
- ▼ With no defined resistance, the rally may face overhead supply from previous bearish levels.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 110.38200 | 2026-10-14 |
| S2 | 110.02800 | 2026-10-13 |