AVA/XUSDT – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-10-14 16:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.04 %

Entry

9.8680

Target

10.4010 +5.40 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.8120 −0.57 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 8,892 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 8,892 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.09 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 22 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: CMO OS Exit, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 22,209 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

38.0 % ↓ −15.9 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 57 % (4.31) ▼ Bearish 43 % (3.19)

model score 10.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.9 % vs 32.5 % on average · stopped out 37.7 % vs 21.1 % (crypto, 1,368 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Oct 2026, 16:32 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	1.77
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.63
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.60
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.41
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.39
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.25
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.22
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.00
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.85

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple oversold indicators (CCI, CMO, STOCHF) and a BOP zero cross up suggest a bullish reversal attempt on the 30-minute chart.
The broader trend is bearish across most timeframes, so this signal likely represents a counter-trend bounce rather than a full reversal.
Watch the resistance at 10.40100 and support at 9.81200; a break above resistance could extend gains, while losing support invalidates the signal.
The daily timeframe is bullish, which may provide some underlying support, but the immediate trend is down.

The AVA/USDT pair has triggered a cluster of bullish signals on the 30-minute timeframe, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI and CMO oversold exits, a STOCHF KD Cross Up, and a retreat from the lower Bollinger Band. These indicators collectively suggest that selling pressure is exhausting and a short-term bounce is likely. However, the broader trend across timeframes remains predominantly bearish, with solid downtrends on the 15-minute and 4-hour charts, and trend-forming bearish structures on the 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, and 12-hour timeframes. The daily chart is the only bullish timeframe, which adds a conflicting layer. The confluence of multiple oversold indicators and the retreat from the lower band points to a potential corrective rally, but the alignment of lower timeframes with the bearish trend suggests this may be a counter-trend move rather than a reversal.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 10.40100 and support at 9.81200. A break above resistance would signal stronger bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the bounce and likely resume the downtrend. Given the strong signal strength and high probability, traders might consider short-term long opportunities, but should be cautious given the bearish higher timeframe context. The signal's time is 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC, and the analysis is based on that snapshot.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple oversold indicator exits (CCI, CMO) and a stochastic cross up, all pointing to a bullish momentum shift.
▲ Retreat from the lower Bollinger Band often precedes a bounce as price reverts to the mean.
▲ Strong signal strength (85% probability) and high number of bullish signals (over 8) increase the likelihood of a short-term rally.
▲ Daily timeframe bullish trend could provide a floor for price, supporting a bounce from lower levels.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend across 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, and 12h is bearish, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish signal.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 9.81200, the bullish setup is invalidated and a further decline is likely.
▼ The 8-hour timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction that could lead to false signals.
▼ Momentum from the oversold bounce may fade quickly if the broader bearish trend reasserts itself.