AVA/XUSDT – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-14 10:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.86 %

Entry

10.198

Target

10.401 +1.99 %

closes in profit

Stop

10.157 −0.40 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 8,892 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 8,892 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.09 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 22 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Up, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, SMI Signal Cross Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 22,209 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

49.6 % ↑ +11.6 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 100 % (21.58) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 39.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.5 % vs 32.5 % on average · stopped out 24.5 % vs 21.1 % (crypto, 1,967 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Oct 2026, 10:32 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.05
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.98
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.43
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▲	Three Outside Up	candlestick	1.26
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.03

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum on the 30m chart with multiple indicators aligned.
Immediate upside target is the resistance at 10.40100; support at 10.15700 is key for invalidation.
Higher timeframes are mostly bearish, so this could be a counter-trend rally.
Watch for a break above 10.40100 to confirm the bullish move; failure may lead to a pullback.

The 30-minute AVA/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Stochastic KD cross up, Williams %R exiting oversold, Elder Ray and ERI zero-line crosses, a KDJ cross, a Hull Moving Average break, and a bullish Spinning Top. Together these indicate a short-term momentum shift from bearish to bullish, with the probability rating at 91% and very strong strength. The immediate target is the nearest resistance at 10.40100, while support sits at 10.15700.

However, the higher timeframes present a conflicting picture: the 1h, 2h, 4h, and 12h are all bearish with trend forming, while the 1d is bullish with a solid trend. This suggests the current bullish signal may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The alignment of multiple indicators on the 30m does lend confluence, but traders should be cautious about the strength of the move until the price can break above the 1h resistance. The 15m and 30m trends are bullish but choppy, indicating that the momentum may lack follow-through.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple technical indicators (Stoch, KDJ, SMI, ERI, Elder Ray) all crossing bullish simultaneously.
▲ Hull Moving Average break up adds momentum confirmation.
▲ Bullish Spinning Top candlestick pattern suggests buying interest.
▲ 1-day trend is solidly bullish, providing longer-term support.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h, 12h) are bearish, which could cap upside.
▼ The 15m and 30m trends are choppy/sideways, indicating weak trend strength.
▼ If price fails to hold above 10.15700, the bullish signal is invalidated.
▼ A break below the 30m support could trigger a quick reversal toward lower levels.