EUR/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
2 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %
Entry
176.619
Target
177.594 +0.55 %
closes in profit
Stop
176.220 −0.23 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 896 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 896 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
14 % at target avg +0.36 % 39 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 11 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: CCI OS Exit, KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat, WILLR OS Exit +9 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 22,209 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle
STRONG Intraday
▲ Bullish 90 % (17.63) ▼ Bearish 10 % (1.89)
model score 90.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 6.4 % vs 17.1 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 11.3 % (forex, 546 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 1h 90%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.82
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.68
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.65
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.64
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.61
▲ ZLMA Retreat Up indicator 1.59
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.41
▲ Inverted Hammer candlestick 1.33
▲ STOCH OS Exit indicator 1.29
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.25
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 1.19
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.08

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful 1H bullish reversal signal has fired from deeply oversold conditions, with 12 indicators aligning.
  • The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend bounce — treat it as a correction, not a new uptrend.
  • Watch the 177.594 resistance level; a break above it could extend the rally, while a rejection there would confirm the bearish trend remains intact.
  • Support at 176.484 is the key invalidation level — a close below it would negate the bullish signal.
The EUR/JPY 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish oscillator exits and crossovers — BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, RSI OS Exit, STOCH OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit — alongside BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up and HMA Retreat Up. This indicates a broad-based momentum reversal from oversold conditions on the 1H chart, with the Bollinger Band lower band retreat and Hull Moving Average retreat adding trend-reversal confirmation. The signal strength is very strong, with a 100% probability score, reflecting the confluence of multiple independent indicators firing simultaneously.

However, the higher-timeframe picture remains bearish across all timeframes from 15m to 1D, with the 4H showing only choppy/sideways bearishness (1/5). This creates a classic counter-trend bounce setup: the 1H reversal is firing against a persistent downtrend, so the move is likely a corrective rally rather than a full trend reversal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 177.594 and support at 176.484. A break above resistance would signal stronger bullish intent, while a failure at resistance or a drop back below support would invalidate the bounce.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Exceptional confluence: 12 technical indicators fired simultaneously, including multiple oversold exits and crossovers.
  • ▲ Bollinger Band lower band retreat and HMA retreat confirm a momentum shift from the downside.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength and 100% probability score suggest high reliability of the reversal trigger.
  • ▲ The 4H timeframe shows only weak bearishness (choppy/sideways), reducing resistance to a bounce.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ All timeframes are bearish, with the 1D, 8H, and 12H showing solid trends — the larger downtrend may overwhelm the 1H bounce.
  • ▼ The 1H bearish trend is still forming (2/5), meaning the reversal may be premature and could fail.
  • ▼ Resistance at 177.594 is nearby and could cap upside, especially if the broader downtrend resumes.
  • ▼ A move back below support at 176.484 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely trigger a resumption of the downtrend.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 90%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-14 20:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 177.59400 2026-10-14
R2 177.87000 2026-10-09
R3 178.30700 2026-10-07
S1 176.48400 2026-10-13
S2 176.22000 2026-10-05

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