EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED
15 hours ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.02 %
Entry
177.355
Target
177.870 +0.29 %
closes in profit
Stop
176.484 −0.49 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,683 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,683 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.24 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 8 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, HMA Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 22,209 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 17.1 % on average · stopped out 14.9 % vs 11.3 % (forex, 429 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 100%
conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Oct 2026, 04:30 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.53
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 2.29
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.09
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.02
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.92
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.70
▼ FISHER Zero Cross Down indicator 1.67
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.59
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.57
▲ BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.24
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.17
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.92

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish breakout on 30M with multiple confirmations, targeting resistance at 177.383.
  • Higher timeframes are bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend bounce.
  • Key invalidation level: support at 176.484.
  • Momentum and trend indicators align for a short-term long bias.
The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and confirmed by momentum oscillators (STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up) and trend filters (EMA 200 Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up). The move is further supported by a shift in the HT TRENDMODE from trend to cycle, suggesting a potential mean-reversion bounce. While the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes are turning bullish, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, indicating that this is likely a corrective rally within a larger downtrend. The immediate upside target is the nearest resistance at 177.383, with support at 176.484 acting as the invalidation level for the bullish setup.

Traders should watch for a sustained break above 177.383 to confirm bullish momentum, but be cautious of the persistent bearish pressure from the higher timeframes. The confluence of multiple signals on the 30-minute chart suggests a high-probability bounce, yet the overall trend alignment is mixed. The 78% probability and strong signal strength point to a robust short-term move, but the bearish 8H and 12H trends could cap gains. A close below 176.484 would negate the bullish thesis and signal a return to the dominant downtrend.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Trendline Break Up with strong volume and price action.
  • ▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (STOCHF, BOP) crossing up simultaneously.
  • ▲ EMA 200 and SMA 200 retreating up, indicating a shift in short-term trend.
  • ▲ HT TRENDMODE switching to cycle suggests a potential mean-reversion move.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, which may limit upside.
  • ▼ A close below 176.484 would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • ▼ The 30M trend is still forming (2/5 strength), so momentum could fade.
  • ▼ Resistance at 177.383 is nearby and may act as a strong ceiling.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-14 07:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 177.38300 2026-10-13
R2 177.56600 2026-10-12
R3 177.87000 2026-10-09
S1 176.48400 2026-10-13

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