EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, HMA Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up +6 more
Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 22,209 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Oct 2026, 04:30 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Break Upbreak + retest | trendline | 2.53 |
| ▲ | HMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.29 |
| ▲ | SMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▲ | EMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.02 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▲ | KELTNER MID Cross Up | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▼ | FISHER Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▲ | BIAS Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle | indicator | 1.17 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.92 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Bullish breakout on 30M with multiple confirmations, targeting resistance at 177.383.
- Higher timeframes are bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend bounce.
- Key invalidation level: support at 176.484.
- Momentum and trend indicators align for a short-term long bias.
Traders should watch for a sustained break above 177.383 to confirm bullish momentum, but be cautious of the persistent bearish pressure from the higher timeframes. The confluence of multiple signals on the 30-minute chart suggests a high-probability bounce, yet the overall trend alignment is mixed. The 78% probability and strong signal strength point to a robust short-term move, but the bearish 8H and 12H trends could cap gains. A close below 176.484 would negate the bullish thesis and signal a return to the dominant downtrend.
- ▲ Trendline Break Up with strong volume and price action.
- ▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (STOCHF, BOP) crossing up simultaneously.
- ▲ EMA 200 and SMA 200 retreating up, indicating a shift in short-term trend.
- ▲ HT TRENDMODE switching to cycle suggests a potential mean-reversion move.
- ▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, which may limit upside.
- ▼ A close below 176.484 would invalidate the bullish setup.
- ▼ The 30M trend is still forming (2/5 strength), so momentum could fade.
- ▼ Resistance at 177.383 is nearby and may act as a strong ceiling.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 177.38300 | 2026-10-13 |
| R2 | 177.56600 | 2026-10-12 |
| R3 | 177.87000 | 2026-10-09 |
| S1 | 176.48400 | 2026-10-13 |