EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %
Entry
177.297
Target
176.484 +0.46 %
closes in profit
Stop
177.870 −0.32 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,594 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,594 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.24 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, TEMA Retreat Down, Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) +13 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 21,675 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 5 % (1.42) ▼ Bearish 95 % (28.09)
model score 2.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
EUR/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 3%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.35
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 2.09
▼ TEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.77
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.70
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.38
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.38
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.38
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.37
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.15
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 1.14
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.10
▼ STC Level Cross Down indicator 1.10
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.00
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.00
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 0.92
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.87

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 30M chart suggests a high-probability sell opportunity.
  • Higher timeframes (2H and above) are bearish, aligning with the 30M signal, but lower timeframes are still bullish, so watch for a trend shift.
  • Key levels: support at 176.48400 and resistance at 177.38300; a break below support confirms the downside.
  • The signal is backed by 17 indicators, including momentum, trend, and candlestick patterns, indicating strong confluence.
The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down and a DX Trend Weak reading, alongside a MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, ROCR Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, and TEMA Retreat Down. This confluence of momentum and trend indicators points to a sharp loss of bullish momentum and an imminent shift to the downside. The signal strength is very strong, with a 91% probability, indicating high agreement among the 17 fired signals, which span candlestick, Fibonacci, and indicator groups.

Across timeframes, the bearish case is supported by the higher timeframes: the 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D are all bearish, with the 8H and 12H showing solid trends. However, the 15M, 30M, and 1H are still bullish but only forming (2/5), suggesting the immediate trend is weak and may be rolling over. The key levels to watch are resistance at 177.38300 and support at 176.48400. A break below the support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ High signal strength (91%) with a very strong rating, indicating strong agreement among multiple indicators.
  • ▼ Bearish alignment on higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D), supporting the bearish bias.
  • ▼ Multiple zero-cross signals (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) and a WILLR overbought exit suggest momentum is turning down.
  • ▼ The TEMA Retreat Down adds a trend-following confirmation, reinforcing the bearish move.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15M, 30M, and 1H timeframes are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce or consolidation before the bearish move plays out.
  • ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 177.38300, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ The 4H timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction that could dampen the bearish follow-through.
  • ▲ Momentum signals can fade quickly; watch for a reversal in the stochastic or RSI to confirm the downside.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 3%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-13 23:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 177.38300 2026-10-13
R2 177.56600 2026-10-12
R3 177.87000 2026-10-09
S1 176.48400 2026-10-13

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