GBP/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.03 %
Entry
209.854
Target
210.238 +0.18 %
closes in profit
Stop
208.889 −0.46 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,594 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,594 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.24 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 21,675 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle
MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +4% Scalping
▲ Bullish 75 % (34.45) ▼ Bearish 25 % (11.35)
model score 75.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
GBP/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 75%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.50
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.30
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.29
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.26
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.24
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.22
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.19
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.15
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.94
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.76
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.55
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.37
▼ STC Level Cross Down indicator 1.32
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 1.01
▲ SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Up indicator3 0.00

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bullish signal on the 30-minute chart, with multiple indicators aligning for a long entry.
  • The trend is bullish on the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h), but bearish on the higher timeframes (4h and above).
  • Key levels: resistance at 209.934, support at 208.889—watch for a break or hold.
  • The signal is backed by a high probability (91%), but the higher-timeframe bearish trend is a risk.
The GBP/JPY 30-minute chart is flashing a very strong bullish signal, with a 91% probability and a cluster of indicators aligning to the upside. The BOP Zero Cross Up points to buying pressure entering the market, while the STOCHF KD Cross Up and STOCH KD Cross Down suggest momentum is shifting bullish at the fast and slow stochastic levels, respectively. The retreats in the DEMA, EMA, KAMA, and MA all confirm that price is pulling back to these dynamic supports within an uptrend, offering potential entry points for longs. The higher-timeframe trendline retreat up adds confluence, suggesting the larger structure is also supporting a bounce.

Across timeframes, the trend is bullish on the 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour charts, with the 2-hour showing a choppy but still bullish bias. However, the 4-hour and higher timeframes are bearish, which introduces a layer of caution. The nearest resistance sits at 209.934, and a break above that could open the door to further upside, while the nearest support at 208.889 is the key level to watch—if price loses that, the bullish thesis weakens. The signal is strong, but traders should be mindful of the conflicting higher-timeframe trend and manage risk accordingly.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) all firing bullish signals simultaneously.
  • ▲ Trend alignment across the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes supports the bullish move.
  • ▲ The higher-timeframe trendline retreat up adds confluence, suggesting the larger structure is not entirely against the move.
  • ▲ A very strong strength rating and high probability (91%) indicate robust signal quality.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 4-hour and higher timeframes are bearish, which could cap upside or lead to a reversal.
  • ▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 208.889, the bullish signal is invalidated.
  • ▼ Momentum could fade if the stochastic cross down on the 30-minute chart plays out more forcefully.
  • ▼ Resistance at 209.934 may act as a barrier, and a failure to break it could lead to a pullback.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 75%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-10-13 23:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 209.93400 2026-10-13
R2 209.98700 2026-10-12
R3 210.20300 2026-10-07
S1 208.88900 2026-10-13
S2 208.47700 2026-10-08
S3 208.19400 2026-10-08

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