AUD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW
35 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.04 %
Entry
0.98160
Target
0.97786 +0.38 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.99664 −1.53 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 947 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 947 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.38 % 38 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.41 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
STRONG ⚡ Confluence +13% Intraday
▲ Bullish 25 % (5.90) ▼ Bearish 75 % (18.17)
model score 75.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
AUD/CAD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.21
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.16
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▲ ER Level Cross Up indicator 1.90
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.62
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.56
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.54
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.28
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.18
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.08
▼ Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 0.93

Trend Context

15M
DOWNExtremely strong trend
30M
DOWNExtremely strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish momentum on the 1H chart, confirmed by multiple indicators.
  • Trend is aligned across short timeframes (15m to 2H), supporting the sell signal.
  • Watch the 0.99664 resistance as a potential barrier for any upward correction.
  • Higher timeframes are less bearish, so this may be a short-term opportunity.
The AUD/CAD 1H chart is flashing a strong bearish signal, with a dense cluster of momentum and trend indicators all pointing downward. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCH KD Cross Down confirm selling pressure, while the DEMA, MAMA, and ALMA retreats indicate that price is pulling back from recent highs and that the short-term trend is turning lower. The BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up adds a nuance: price is bouncing off the lower band, which could suggest a temporary oversold condition, but the overall momentum remains bearish.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent and strong from the 15-minute up to the 2-hour charts, with trend scores of 5/5, 5/5, 4/5, and 3/5 respectively. The 4-hour is just beginning to form a downtrend, and higher timeframes are still choppy or even bullish on the daily, which means this is primarily a short-term bearish move. The nearest resistance sits at 0.99664, a level that could act as a ceiling if price retraces. With no clear support below, the downside could be open, but traders should watch for a potential bounce if the move extends too far too fast.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCH, DEMA, MAMA, ALMA) all pointing down.
  • ▼ Strong trend scores on 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes.
  • ▼ Price retreating from recent highs, suggesting a shift in sentiment.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.99664 provides a clear level to define the trade setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Daily timeframe is still bullish, which could limit the downside or trigger a reversal.
  • ▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up hints at an oversold bounce, which could stall the sell-off.
  • ▲ No nearby support means the move could be volatile and prone to sharp reversals.
  • ▲ If price breaks above 0.99664, the bearish thesis would be invalidated.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 76%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-15 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.99664 2026-10-14
R2 0.99693 2026-10-12
R3 0.99757 2026-10-09

Tags

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